Of the elite crop of guards (excluding Frank Ntilikina who’s an unknown), Lonzo is the hardest to project. There is a yawning chasm between is floor and ceiling. Without changing his mechanics he will never have a midrange pull-up game and he hasn’t demonstrated much ability to break down defenders.
As a Lakers fan, I worry that defenses will challenge Lonzo to beat them with his scoring while staying glued to his teammates.
That being said, it’s hard to ignore the transformative effect that his passing vision had on UCLA. Beyond passing vision, Lonzo really empowers his teammates. Like most great passers he finds open teammates and delivers crisp accurate passes to them. However, he also has a knack for delivering the ball in situations where they will share in the responsibility of creating their shot. The most obvious example of this was when he would give the ball up early (immediately) in transition to a player in the frontcourt for an opportunity to attack a defender one-on-one before the defense was set. These passes don’t result in an assist (at least they shouldn’t) but they are arguably more valuable because they show teammates that Lonzo trusts them to make plays for themselves while simultaneously putting them in ideal situations to succeed.