Vietnam Economic Update — 03/2016

According to Dr. Nguyen Xuan Thanh, director of Fulbright Economics Teaching program

  • Vietnam GDP growth 6.68% (2015) and is expected to rise to 6.8–7% (2016) & the goal is 6.7%
  • China GDP growth 7.3% (2014), 6.9% (2015) which is its slowest pace in 25 years. It is expected to ease further to 6.8% or even 6.3% (2016) according to forecasts of its central bank

→ Vietnam can beat China on GDP growth for the first time since 1986?

  • Many regional countries will be affected by these slowing Chinese economy, except Vietnam
  • Vietnam recently signed many free trade pacts → take effect → great steps for further economic growth (if Vietnam knows how to take advantage of them) → attract foreign investment (direct & indirect)
  1. Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement with the US and 10 other nations in the Pacific Rim
  2. Eurasian Economic Union Free trade agreement with the Russia-led union
  3. Trade Accords with Europe Union
  4. Trade Accords with South Korea (effect in 2018)
  • Vietnam is believed to maintain its healthy economic growth for the next 5 years if it can improve consumer’s confidence & resolve business’s difficulties
  • Banking system →recent restructuring ensure only short-term stable liquidity
  • Forex management
  • Real-estate

Extracted from

  1. http://tuoitrenews.vn/business/32556/vietnam-could-beat-china-on-gdp-growth-in-2016-expert