e (one based on Deep Learning) is abl…Zero) and how it was able to learn to master the game of Go from scratch (without human knowledge). 99% of Westerners have never played the game of Go and simply don’t understand it at all. So the relevance of DeepMind’s AlphaGo Zero achievement has been muted. We don’t understand the enormity of the achievement. Go however has been known to be a game of intuition. So it’s somewhat (ignorantly) unsurprising that an intuition machine (one based on Deep Learning) is able to master the game.
Conventional wisdom tells us that people are terrible with numbers. But as Kent realized back in the 1950s, we are even worse with words. In one study that Fischhoff co-authored, people had trouble understanding a 30-percent chance of rain. It wasn’t the probability that tripped them up, but the word: rain. Are we talking drizzle or downpour? All day or just part of the day? And over what area, exactly? (Communicating forecasts in Italian is extra challenging. In English, we can use forecast instead of prediction to convey uncertainty. In Italian, there is only previsione, which has a strong deterministic connotation.)