The Ukraine-russia war is over. putin has lost and he knows it. There are no more paths to victory for russia. The russian army is past culmination, its forces are exhausted, decimated, and demoralized. Ukrainians, with growing confidence, capabilities, and morale have begun offensives to cut of the russian spearheads. These offensives will continue and grow, and if russia does not retreat in the next two weeks it will lose most of its army to death and destruction.

Many people in Ukraine and the West continue to demand that NATO impose no-fly zone over Ukraine to protect civilians. This is a well-intentioned but calamitous idea. It is calamitous because it is what putin wants most. It is also not needed because delivering massive amounts of Stinger missiles and other military equipment will allow Ukraine to establish a no-fly zone on it’s own. — What putin wants

It’s day 6 of russia’s invasion of Ukraine, four days after putin’s generals expected to be in total control of Kyiv. Instead, Ukrainians are fighting on all fronts and never surrender. Thus the russian offensive has stalled; at least for now. The reasons are twofold — the first being the…

by Thomas C. Theiner Last fall the Five Eyes intelligence alliance intercepted Putin’s order to his generals to assemble the forces for an invasion of Ukraine. In November the Americans briefed their NATO allies about Putin’s plans. (You can find the details of Putin’s plans here). Since then Russian military…