NAR Reports Show It’s A Great Time To Sell!

NAR報告顯示目前正是出售房屋的好時機!

We all realize that the best time to sell anything is when the demand for that item is high and the supply of that item is limited. The last two major reports issued by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) revealed information that suggests that right now continues to be a great time to sell your house.

我們都知道,出售任何東西的最佳時機就是需求很高,而且供應有限時,美國全國房地產經紀人協會(NAR)發布的最新兩份主要報告顯示,現在正是出售房屋的好時機。

Let’s look at the data covered in the latest Pending Home Sales Report and Existing Home Sales Report.

讓我們來看看最新的待售房屋銷售報告現有房屋銷售報告中涵蓋的數據。

THE PENDING HOME SALES REPORT

待售房屋銷售報告

The report announced that pending home sales (homes going into contract) are down 2.3% from last year and have continued to fall on an annual basis for seven straight months.

報告宣布待售房屋(簽訂出售合約的房屋)比去年下降2.3%,並已連續七個月繼續下跌。

Lawrence Yun, NAR’s Chief Economist, had this to say:

NAR的首席經濟學家Lawrence Yun這樣說:

“The reason sales are falling off last year’s pace is that multiple years of inadequate supply in markets with strong job growth have finally driven up home prices to a point where an increasing number of prospective buyers are unable to afford it.”
“去年銷售下降的原因是,在就業增長強勁,但多年供應不足的市場,導致房價持續上漲,越來越多的買家無力承擔。”

Takeaway: Demand for housing is strong and will continue to grow in 2019. Without an influx of new listings for sale, pending home sales will continue to decline. Listing now means you will be able to take advantage of the demand currently in the market.

重點:房屋市場需求強勁,並將在2019年繼續增長。如果沒有新的待售房源湧入,待售房屋銷售量將繼續下降。現在出售房屋表示您將能夠妥善利用目前市場上強大的需求。

THE EXISTING HOME SALES REPORT

現有房屋銷售報告

The most important data point revealed in the report was not sales-based, but was instead the inventory of homes for sale (supply). The report explained:

報告中最重要的數據其實不是銷售量,而是銷售房屋的庫存(供應量)。報告解釋說:

  • Total housing inventory decreased 0.7% to 5.34 million homes available for sale in July
    7月份可出售房屋總數減少0.7%,降至534萬戶
  • This represents a 4.3-month supply at the current sales pace
    以當前銷售速度來計算,這約為4.3個月的供應量
  • Sales are now 1.5% below a year ago
    目前的銷售額比一年前低了1.5%

There were two more interesting comments made by Yun in the report:

Yun針對報告提出了兩條有趣的評論:

“Led by a notable decrease in closings in the Northeast, existing home sales trailed off again last month, sliding to their slowest pace since February 2016 at 5.21 million.”
“由於東北地區成交房屋量明顯減少,上個月房屋銷售量再次下滑,降自2016年2月以來的最低量521萬戶。”

In real estate, there is a guideline that often applies: When there is less than a 6-month supply of inventory available, we are in a seller’s market and we will see appreciation; between 6–7 months is a neutral market, where prices will increase at the rate of inflation; and more than a 7-month supply means we are in a buyer’s market and should expect depreciation in home values. As Yun notes, we are (and will remain) in a seller’s market and prices will continue to increase unless more listings come to the market.

在房地產界有一個定律:當庫存供應量少於6個月時,我們處於賣方市場,房價上漲; 6–7個月之間的供應量是個中性市場,價格將以通貨膨脹率增漲;超過7個月的供應意味著我們處於買方市場,預期房屋價值會貶值。正如Yun指出的,我們目前處於賣方市場(並且會持續下去),價格將繼續上漲,除非更多的出售房屋進入市場。

“Listings continue to go under contract in under a month, which highlights the feedback from Realtors® that buyers are swiftly snatching up moderately-priced properties. Existing supply is still not at a healthy level, and new home construction is not keeping up to meet demand.”
“許多出售屋持續在不到一個月的時間簽訂出售合約,許多房地產經紀人表示,有眾多買家迅速搶購價格適中的房產,現有的供應仍未達到需求的標準,建商新屋也無法滿足市場上的需求。”

Takeaway: Inventory of homes for sale is still well below the 6-month supply needed for a normal market. Prices will continue to rise if a sizable supply does not enter the market.

重點:出售房屋庫存仍遠低於正常市場所需的6個月供應量,如果大量供應沒有進入市場,那麼價格將繼續上漲。

Bottom Line 結論

If you are going to sell, now may be the time to take advantage of the ready, willing, and able buyers that are still out looking for your house.

如果您打算出售房屋,現在有許多仍在尋找房子,並願意和有能力購買的買家,正在等著您的房屋上市出售喔!