Where Are The Home Prices Heading In The Next 5 Years?

Eileen Tien
Aug 29, 2017 · 2 min read

房價未來五年的走向?

Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey.

現在許多房地產話題總圍繞著房價,以及房價未來的走向,因此我們很喜歡“房價預期調查”。

Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment & market strategists about where they believe prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

每個季度,Pulsenomics諮詢由一百多位經濟學家、房地產專家以及投資和市場行銷策略專家組成的全國性小組,調查他們認為房屋價格在未來五年走向如何,然後將100多位專家的預測統一為單一數字。

The results of their latest survey 最新調查結果:

Home values will appreciate by 5.0% over the course of 2017, 4.0% in 2018, 3.2% in 2019, 3.0% in 2020, and 3.0% in 2021. That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.64% over the next 5 years.

2017年房屋價值將上漲5.0%,2018年為4.0%,2019年為3.2%,2020年為3.0%,2021年為3.0%,未來5年的平均年度增長率為3.64%。

The prediction for cumulative appreciation increased from 17.8% to 18.4% by 2021. The experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey are projecting a cumulative appreciation of 6.7%.

預測累積升值率預測在2021年將從17.8%提高到18.4%,有將近四分之一的專家預測累計升值率為6.7%。

Bottom Line 結論

Individual opinions make headlines. We believe this survey is a fairer depiction of future values.

某些人的個人意見成為了頭條新聞,但我們認為這項調查對未來的房價走向是一個更公平的描述。

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