In the lapse of one month, President Donald Jr. Trump succeeded to remarkably drain the swamp in the White House, but not in Washington as he promised.
The United States of America as Europe knew for three generations are gone. The new President of the 1st world power led his country in a frenetic and erretic way. The first Twitter-President succeeded to unify all judicial system to act against one of his controversial promises. After signing Executive Order (EO) banning entrance into the US for citizens from seven countries (so-called “Muslim Ban”), it created a climate of chaos and protest worldwide. In the same way, his National Security Adviser (NSA), Michael Flynn did resign (on February 13, 2017) amid troubling suspicions for close contact with the Russian counterparts ahead and after the U.S. elections.
But to distract everyone from these strong turbulences, President Trump plays fool with media. He just maintains a harsh tone against major MSM and untiringly strikes blows on them,
“I’m changing it from Fake News, to VERY Fake News” Donald Trump on CNN (Press Conference, February 17, 2017)
Still four years ahead of us in which the White House is going to troll the news media. Glooming atmosphere as journalists will have to adapt to get across this time.
Notwithstanding, the main issue that has to be still raised is related to the resilience of the U.S. federal institutions through this 4-years period. In the White House Donald J. Trump reinstated Andrew Jackson. His portrait has been installed in the Oval Office giving credit to the Trump’s anti-elite stance. And this anecdote may pinpoint dramatic clues on how President Trump is going to lead the United States. Andrew Jackson, 7th President of the United States, has been described to be close to the people, as he did not support professional politicians and institutions. By doing so, he did tend to gain independent power. Similarly to Donald Trump, President Jackson also did not bother about a government. And actually, he often quarelled with them and surrounded himself with advisers, his “government in the kitchen,” with whom he makes his decisions. Strangely, Donald Trump has already paved the way for a similar governance. The White House’s governement vs. The Washington-based Federal government.
So does it mean that President Trump is going to lead a Jacksonian presidency? It is still to soon to assess any conclusion. However, his cabinet has been established to be strongly involved in the decision-making process of the Federal governance. As far as understanding, this cabinet is not here to conduct day-to-day affairs. But, the White House is already struggling with divisions. Once Flynn out, the latter has been replaced by General McMaster, another military to the strategic position of NSA. Yet, McMaster’s stance toward Russia is the utterly opposite from the Flynn’s one. What’s next? It seems quite sure that Steve Bannon will be pushed towards the exit by this newly hawkish counterweight. These ones may want consigliere Bannon out from the decision-making process on foreign affairs matters.
As a result, diplomatic tensions between the U.S., on the one hand, and China, Iran and Russia, on the other hand, will mount in the next months. It will result serious ramifications on several battlegrounds (i.e. Syria, Yemen, Ukraine, etc.). But the international stage won’t be able to hire the ongoing crippling of the U.S. governance system. On the contrary, it may offer opportunities for Bannon and others to strike back at the very heart of the political engineering of the U.S. power. And President Trump will play this card. Likely, he is about to launch an internal political warfare in which each pawn will fight in this mighty machine.
Regarding potential outside counterweights, there is a lot of challengers. Firstly with Federal Agencies, lot of public servants already left in critical numbers some public offices. They may create area for an “alt-governance”, but without tangible impact for now. Secondly, the U.S. Congress is still trying to unravel how the Trump administration will look like. Indeed, the lack of visibility and erratic first month of President Trump in charge allow poor spaces for Congressmen. And last but not least, the mysterious role played by VP Mike Pence. Definitely, the wild card of this presidency. Very conservative holding hawkish positions on foreign affairs, Mike Pence will be viewed as the pontentiel next acting President in case of successful impeachment procedure against Donald Trump. But this may blow up the all-Federal system and have unintended consequences. As for now, we are far from it.
By playing fool the MSM, Donald Trump is setting the background for another but brutal fight for the future of U.S. governance. For now, it is yet in the shadow. But Donald Trump is short-circuiting the system and Washington is about to be embattled.