Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogThe Confusion of Risk vs. UncertaintyThere’s a lot of confusion around the definitions of ‘risk’ vs that of ‘uncertainty.’Dec 21, 2016Dec 21, 2016
Ozzie GooenEmotion Inclusive & Exclusive AltruismPeople discussing common acts of altruism and those arguing against it’s existence are using different definitions of altruism.Dec 20, 20161Dec 20, 20161
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogCreate Calculators from Guesstimate ModelsGuesstimate spreadsheets are flexible, but not always simple. Sometimes you just want to run one particular function multiple times or…Jul 26, 2016Jul 26, 2016
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogThe Flaws of Best & Worst Case AnalysesA standard technique to account for uncertainty with project planning, revenue forecasts, and other kinds of estimates, is to use best case…Jun 21, 20161Jun 21, 20161
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogLaunching Organization AccountsToday we’re launching organizational accounts in Guesstimate. These allow you to create, share, and edit public and private models with…Jun 20, 2016Jun 20, 2016
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogVisual Sensitivity Analysis in GuesstimateTrying to understand how variations in one variable impact another? You could manually adjust the first and observe changes in the second…May 17, 2016May 17, 2016
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogLognormal > NormalTLDR: If you are estimating only positive numbers, you probably want to use lognormal distributions.Mar 28, 20161Mar 28, 20161
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogIntroducing Guesstimate Lite & Premium PlansToday we’re launching two new plans for Guesstimate: Lite, at only $5/month for 20 private models, and Premium, at $12/month for 100…Mar 17, 2016Mar 17, 2016
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogTeaming up with Matthew McDermottMost of the work at Guesstimate so far has been done solo, but I’m happy to say that’s changing. Matthew has recently joined Guesstimate as…Mar 15, 2016Mar 15, 2016
Ozzie GooeninThe Guesstimate BlogGuesstimate with Different DistributionsAs several Guesstimate users noted, it’s very difficult to talk for negative minutes. A Guesstimate example video featured the…Mar 11, 2016Mar 11, 2016