An Artist With Asymmetric Upside, Pt. 2Part 1 presented a broad thesis for Botto. In this followup, we look more at where Botto stands today, its potential catalysts moving…May 4, 2023May 4, 2023
Botto: An Autonomous Artist With Asymmetric UpsideThesis: Botto is a first-of-its-kind artist that rapidly evolves toward cultural relevance. Built with integrity, incentives, and a…May 4, 20231May 4, 20231
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesThe Potential of Pandemic Prediction MarketsA Better Way to Signal and Hedge RiskMar 31, 2020Mar 31, 2020
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesMeet Poyo: An Interview with Augur’s Most Controversial CatPoyo has been called a troll, scammer, scheming mastermind and incompetent fool. There’s probably some truth to all of these labels for…Apr 22, 20192Apr 22, 20192
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesWhat One High-Stakes Trader Can Teach Us About AugurAbout 100 hours before the U.S. midterms election in November, an anonymous Augur trader spun up a throwaway Reddit account to comment on…Feb 2, 20191Feb 2, 20191
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesWhere Does Value Want To Live?In markets that shut down and shut out or in markets that never sleep, open to anyone, anywhere, anytime?Jan 30, 2019Jan 30, 2019
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesPrediction > Punditry Via Augur & Putting My Money Where My Mouth IsEarlier this week, I wrote a bunch of predictions on what will happen in the world of Augur this year. This was one of many prediction…Jan 27, 20192Jan 27, 20192
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesHow to Spot Winning Arbitrage Trades on AugurToday, I’ll build on some thoughts I recently wrote about prediction arbitrage.Oct 2, 2018Oct 2, 2018
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesPrediction ArbitrageOpportunities Between Augur & Other MarketsSep 20, 2018Sep 20, 2018
Published inSunrise Over the Merkle TreesBig Picture Crypto ThoughtsAmid all the short-termism in the crypto space (especially during bearish times), it’s nice to keep the big picture in mind. Here are some…Aug 16, 2018Aug 16, 2018
