Before improving, Brazil will get much worse
Economy should not resume growth before the elections in 2018
Will not improve
Who is waiting for major changes in the economy for the next five years, forget it. If we resume, it will be slow. The Growth Acceleration Plan proposed by Lula, it is now known, was made to give money to large construction companies in the country, which made fat donations to parties and in that there does not escape anyone, virtually all captions with representation in Congress put his hand on that Ahwatukee. Worse than were launched new phases of the program, none of which was completed in its entirety. The programs served to in the first time, create jobs for thousands of unskilled workers, pawn for construction. But the works are over and now these men and women are surviving nozzles and social programs.
He went through a similar process in the late 90s and early this decade. Hundreds of public works were made, which led to a mass migration, including Brazilians. Finished works (there they finished all), most returned to their countries and those who remained had to qualify to stay working. After completion of work, Spain underwent a brief hangover but recovered. This way the thing will not be so simple. In addition to internal problems, the price of commodities collapsed, leaving us in an even more complicated situation. But with an aggravating factor, in Spain the works were completed, for here were halved.
In Porto Velho
Rondônia capital a simple design of buildings of a high and two small bridges transformed the routine of the more than 369 000 inhabitants for almost six years. The works provided for in PAC 1, should have been completed in two years, but the construction companies responsible for the project erred execution. As a result, barely finished rubble turned into panels with graffiti and collation tasteless posters. Traffic, confusing, remember the cities of Bolivia. The two hydroelectric plants also built in the CAP, are late with schedules and under suspicion of having committed serious environmental crimes that the federal government was keen to hide. The city has only 2.7% of sewage captured, which leaves as the worst among the 100 Brazilian cities.
Shows that the program is delayed in practically the whole country and with the operation Lava jet in progress that framed the largest construction companies in Brazil, the situation should be even more complicated. Works as the transposition of the São Francisco, airport reforms, sanitation and other drag on without end forecast. In the North of the country the situation is even more serious. Despite the assurance of being in the budget, the federal government has increased taxes and the approval of the CPMF to be able to continue with projects such as sewage works in Porto Velho, the railroad Mato Grosso / Rondonia and others. The most optimistic outlook speak of recovery beginning in the second half of 2017 and the more realistic after the 2018 elections, which is the most likely. Economic analysts dismiss any improvement now in 2016, they already consider lost.
On Wednesday, Standard & Poor’s agency. The rating, which is used as a reference for foreign investors invest resources in Brazil, was cut by one level, from BB + to BB with negative outlook. The level of investment is a quality seal that guarantees investors a lower risk of defaults. The S & P was the first agency among the largest to take the degree of investment in Brazil. The country also lost the investment grade by Fitch, which in December cut the country note for the second time in two months: from BBB- to BB +, the first step of what is considered speculative grade. The positive ratings of Brazil had been conquered in 2008.
Azul Airlines will disable the only flight that has between Rio Branco and Porto Velho, capital of Rondonia. The measure will be adopted as of April 4, when it also reduces flights in other states. The biggest cut so far is in Minas Gerais, in the Pampulha Airport where Blue is responsible for 60% of flights. The company said the measures are due to the difficult economic situation that the country passes.
To save money, the newspaper Estado do Maranhão, the Sarney family will suppress the Saturday edition, which will circulate along with the Sunday. The measure is to cut spending. The newspaper has already reduced the number of pages, laid off employees and goes through structural reforms. It seems that the time of fat cows of Sarney are finally over.
The Supreme Court
Two decisions were taken at the meeting on Wednesday, the first dealing with the admissibility of the prison following a decision by the second instance, ie, the subject may even appeal to higher courts, but stuck. The second which provides for a fine for merely dilatory injuries. The Supreme Court should apply a fine to himself, because it is champion of delaying measures. There, to be published in the Journal of Justice is difficult. The first decision undermines the class Lava Jet, which, by the way, should continue prey.
Pollution contributes to increasing the number of cases of stroke
For the first time, scientists have established a correlation between increased numbers of people with cerebrovascular accident (CVA) and high levels of pollution. According to research presented by the American Association of stroke, poor air quality and climate change in general are increasing the rate of cardiovascular disease. The study was based on data from China and the United States, “the two countries that emit more greenhouse gases and which are responsible for about a third of global warming so far,” explains lead author Longjian Liu, who presented the document on the stroke International Conference 2016. the research team also found that temperature had an impact on air quality and the risk of stroke. — Seasonal variations in air quality can be partly attributed to climate change — says Liu, who is professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at Drexel University in Philadelphia (USA). — In summer, there are many rainy and windy days, which can help disperse air pollution. The high temperatures create a critical thermal stress which may lead to an increased risk of stroke and other diseases and even deaths caused by heat and air quality. The scientist also emphasizes that stroke patients may suffer from other diseases because of varying temperatures. Stroke is the fifth leading cause of death in the United States, killing 129,000 people each year, and is a major cause of disability. Throughout the world, the prevalence of stroke is 33 million. In Brazil, registered about 68 000 deaths from stroke each year, according to the Ministry of Health. The disease is the leading cause of death and disability in the country, which generates significant economic and social impact.
Translated with help of Google Translate