Modeling Reality

There is a tendency for people to attach information that is familiar to them. Survivorship bias. Availability bias. The list goes on. Connect two points of information, and you have arrived at an infinitely limited point of view. Then the reinforcement cycle begins. The more you notice your inaccurate pattern of causation, the more you attribute to it. While in fact, your model is so highly flawed that you’ve started and accelerated head first in the wrong direction. The self reinforcement is also a life saver because suddenly things that don’t make sense are dismissed as you are now quite confident in your beliefs and will protect them with a childish stubbornness.

But what if you choose to retain a flexible model, where you can be objective about information. It will constantly involve with new knowledge. Nothing has to make sense, and that to me is life.

It isn’t the easy way out, because it involves constant thought and consideration. Observation and interpretation of the world around you. Things won’t make sense, and your thirst for more knowledge will never be quenched. But then, you are truly free. Free from external forces driving you in a direction that they want (and trust that they have thought about how to do it way longer than it took you to believe them).

But most importantly you are free from yourself — from false beliefs, from convenient excuses and from the cowardice of ignorance.


Cognitive Bias Codex, check it out.