Stock Market — Australia for the W/E April 12, 2024

Paul Young
6 min readApr 12, 2024

--

The S&P/ASX 200 closed 25.5 points lower, down 0.33%.

In many ways it was a soggy end to the week, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 logging consecutive losses to pare back Monday-Wednesday’s gains to just 15 points.

But, as was the case most days this week, beneath the surface of a mundane benchmark were some rampaging moves in commodities stocks. They took turns, with iron ore, copper, and even lithium stocks getting a run at some point.

But consistently strong, were gold stocks — no surprise given the gold price continues to hover around record highs. Today, they were joined by uranium stocks, which were to say the least, magnificent.

Trading higher

  • +10.8% Chalice Mining (CHN) — No news, fourth straight day of gains, likely short covering, volume is above average, short term trend is now up 🔎📈
  • +8.2% Lotus Resources (LOT) — No news, broad uranium sector strength on improving uranium price, similar move up in global sector leader Cameco in New York, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +7.9% Austin Engineering (ANG) — No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +7.0% Bravura Solutions (BVS) — No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.9% Alkane Resources (ALK) — No news, broad gold sector strength, rise is consistent with prevailing short term uptrend, long term trend is transitioning from down to up 🔎📈
  • +6.9% EQT Holdings (EQT)EQT receives final approval for sale of Irish business, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.8% Regis Resources (RRL) — No news, broad gold sector strength, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.7% Bannerman Energy (BMN) — No news, broad uranium sector strength on improving uranium price, similar move up in global sector leader Cameco in New York, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.7% Deep Yellow (DYL) — No news, broad uranium sector strength on improving uranium price, similar move up in global sector leader Cameco in New York, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.3% Ora Banda Mining (OBM) — No news, broad gold sector strength, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.2% Droneshield (DRO) — No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.2% Red 5 (RED) — No news, broad gold sector strength, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +6.0% Genex Power (GNX)Genex enters into binding TID with J-Power, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends
  • +5.2% Boss Energy (BOE) — No news, broad uranium sector strength on improving uranium price, similar move up in global sector leader Cameco in New York, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈
  • +4.9% Kingsgate Consolidated (KCN) — No news, broad gold sector strength, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends
  • +4.8% Alligator Energy (AGE) — No news, broad uranium sector strength on improving uranium price, similar move up in global sector leader Cameco in New York, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends 🔎📈

Trading lower

  • -15.8% Avita Medical Inc (AVH) — Continued negative response to yesterday’s AVITA Medical Updates Expected First Quarter 2024 Revenue, fall is consistent with prevailing short term downtrend, long term trend is transitioning from up to down 🔎📉
  • -7.5% Domino’s Pizza Enterprises (DMP) Strategy Day Presentation, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends 🔎📉
  • -7.3% The Star Entertainment Group (SGR)Trading Update, fall is consistent with prevailing long term downtrend 🔎📉
  • -6.9% Cettire (CTT)Q3 FY24 Trading & Market Update, fall is consistent with prevailing short term downtrend, big black candle, close at low, and close to closing below long term downtrend ribbon 🔎📉
  • -6.8% Winsome Resources (WR1) — Pullback after strong rally post yesterday’s Exploration drilling discovers 61.5m at 1.62% Li2O
  • -4.9% Ioneer (INR) — No news, struggling to get through the long term downtrend ribbon 🔎📉
  • -4.5% Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) — Pullback after strong rally post yesterday’s First Lithium Chloride produced from Optimisation Plant
  • -4.2% Strike Energy (STX) — No news, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends 🔎📉

Broker Notes

  • Abacus Group (ABG) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.21
  • Australian Finance Group (AFG) retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.47
  • Eagers Automotive (APE) retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $13.85 from $13.90
  • Arena REIT/Units (ARF) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.96
  • Autosports Group (ASG) retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $3.05 from $3.15
  • Charter Hall Group (CHC) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $15.54
  • Centuria Industrial REIT (CIP) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.66
  • Charter Hall Long Wale REIT (CLW) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.62
  • Centuria Capital Group (CNI) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.70
  • Charter Hall Retail REIT (CQR) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.61
  • Dexus Industria REIT/Units (DXI) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.00
  • Dexus (DXS) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $7.38
  • Fleetpartners Group (FPR) retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $4.20 from $3.60
  • GPT Group (GPT) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $4.61
  • Goodman Group (GMG) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $34.84
  • Growthpoint Properties Australia (GOZ) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.50
  • Healthco Healthcare and Wellness REIT (HCW) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.45
  • Homeco Daily Needs REIT (HDN) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.26
  • HMC Capital (HMC) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $6.76
  • James Hardie Industries (JHX) downgraded to neutral from outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $62.40 from $68.20
  • Mader Group (MAD) retained at at Bell Potter; Price Target: $7.60
  • Mirvac Group (MGR) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.38
  • McMillan Shakespeare (MMS) retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $22.50 from $21.80
  • Monash IVF Group (MVF) initiated at sector perform at RBC Capital Markets; Price Target: $1.50
  • National Storage REIT (NSR) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.34
  • Northern Star Resources (NST)
  • Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $14.50
  • Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $17
  • Netwealth Group (NWL) retained at underperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $16.75 from $15.30
  • Origin Energy (ORG) retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $9.97 from $9.29
  • Orica (ORI) retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $19.05 from $18.82
  • Peter Warren Automotive Holdings (PWR) retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $2.40 from $2.45
  • Qualitas (QAL) retained at Outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.89
  • Region Group (RGN) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.30
  • Scentre Group (SCG) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.03
  • Smartgroup Corporation (SIQ) retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $11.55 from $11.00
  • Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX) retained at at Bell Potter; Price Target: $14.50
  • Vicinity Centres (VCX) retained at Neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.92

Source — https://www.marketindex.com.au/news/evening-wrap-asx-200-sees-soggy-end-to-week-but-gold-and-uranium-stocks-just

Commodities Prices:

  1. LNG — https://pemedianetwork.com/petroleum-economist/articles/gas-lng/2024/woodside-sees-renewed-confidence-in-australia-s-upstream/
  2. Copper -https://www.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/1045145/qmines-aiming-to-be-australia-s-first-zero-carbon-copper-producer-amid-bright-outlook-for-copper-prices-1045145.html
  3. Iron-ore — https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/iron-ore-heads-10-weekly-021500366.html
  4. Lithium — https://www.greencarcongress.com/2024/04/20240412-benchmark.html
  5. Housing — https://www.afr.com/property/residential/the-five-barriers-to-building-1-2-million-homes-by-2029-20230926-p5e7r1
  6. Data and AI — https://cyberbeat.news/news/2024/march/australia-missing-out-in-ai-funding-boom.html
  7. Agriculture — https://mainlandfinance.com.au/growth-amid-challenges-the-resilience-of-australian-farming/
  8. Manufacturing — https://infrastructuremagazine.com.au/2024/04/12/future-made-in-australia-act-to-drive-local-manufacturing/
  9. Australia GDP — https://www.aigroup.com.au/resourcecentre/research-economics/economics-intelligence/2024/global-forecasts-solidifying-growth-foundations/
  10. Australia — https://www.smallbusiness.nsw.gov.au/news-podcasts/news/better-regulation-critical-for-both-small-businesses-and-consumers
  11. Corporate profit — https://www.xm.com/research/markets/allNews/reuters/australia-new-zealand-corporate-earnings-week-ahead-53811337

Paul Young CPA CGA is a former Senior IBM Customer Success Manager that has deployed over 300 data and AI solutions across geographies for the past 8 years. Paul is also FPA SME on how best to integrate macro and micro indicators as part of the data journey for the operational, management, and regulatory reporting cycles.

Paul_Young_CGA@outlook.com

Blog — How to select the best ESG solution for your /Organization — https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-select-right-environmental-social-governance-solution-paul-young-83mzc/

Courses — https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_activity-7163302861974519809-ryf3?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

EBITDA

Medium — https://medium.com/@paulyoung_81567/what-is-ebitda-and-why-is-edbita-important-to-organizations-daeda18ad017

Linked in — https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_what-is-ebitda-and-why-is-edbita-important-activity-7182946656424747009-Vh7k?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

https://medium.com/@paulyoung_81567/stock-market-analysis-for-the-week-ending-april-5-2024-72fcb937cbe8

Stock Market — https://medium.com/@paulyoung_81567/stock-market-analysis-for-the-week-ending-april-5-2024-72fcb937cbe8 or https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_stock-market-analysis-for-the-week-ending-activity-7182370500784926721-eb2m?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop

--

--

Paul Young

Senior Data and Thought Leader that has worked with some of the largest organizations in the world on data and AI.