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Yet, the probability of these 100 conjunctive events all succeeding is less than 37%. As the total number of events increases, our overall likelihood of success drops significantly.
Nothing new is easy. Or simple. Most projects — whether it’s a new product development or an organizational change — contain hundreds of different events that all need to occur for the overall project to succeed.
…ting error.” Simply put, find alternative viewpoints and perspectives to balance your own thoughts. While individual views may be biased, taken collectively, the average input of knowledgeable peers tends to be much more accurate.