Phil ArgueBuilding a Better Recession ModelThe most financially destructive events that investors face are recessions. By some estimates, more than 12 trillion dollars was lost…Apr 3, 2019Apr 3, 2019
Phil ArgueThe Federal Reserve and Interest Rates: How does it work?The Federal Reserve uses monetary policy to dampen the highs and lows of business cycles. The primary tool the Fed uses is changes to…Aug 20, 2018Aug 20, 2018
Phil ArgueStock Market Returns and our Business Cycle IndicatorFinancial experts often refer to historical stock market returns to set investor expectations. Since 1926, the S&P 500 has annualized 9.8%…Aug 13, 2018Aug 13, 2018
Phil ArgueRising Interest Rates: How Much Is Too Much?“Nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes”. Well, you can add one more to the list — the Feds raise rates too far and…Aug 13, 2018Aug 13, 2018
Phil ArgueWhy Investor Returns Lag Investment ReturnsAt the end of each year, the investing community takes stock of the year and compares investment returns. Several studies aim to uncover…Aug 13, 2018Aug 13, 2018
Phil ArgueA Demographic Case for Why Rates Won’t RiseFor more than 30 years, interest rates have been falling in the US. It’s hard to believe, but back in 1981 you could have lent money to the…Aug 12, 2018Aug 12, 2018
Phil ArgueWhy Are You Investing in the First Place?Why Are You Investing? Really.Aug 11, 2018Aug 11, 2018
Phil ArgueThe Rough [Financial] Road AheadIt is common knowledge that American’s aren’t the best at managing their finances. We tend to overspend, under save, and live life like…Aug 11, 2018Aug 11, 2018
Phil ArgueThe Best Investing Advice You Probably Never ReceivedThis simple piece of advice is rarely discussed, but always learned. Unfortunately, it is often learned the hard way. Building long-term…Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018
Phil ArgueGet to Know Your Number — How Much Do You Really Need to Retire?Everyone asks themselves this question at one point or another. Unfortunately for most people, the number is much bigger than they think…Jun 26, 2018Jun 26, 2018
