These probabilities look off to me. If one 1 person alive today will die in an airplane crash, the odds are still closer to 1:7 billion than 1:11 billion. Are you talking the odds per-flight? If only one American alive today will be killed by an illegal immigrant, the odds are slightly over 1:300 million. I have no idea where you’re getting 1:3.6 billion or 1:10.9 billion; it’s upsetting to read an article supporting something I’m passionate about (encryption) that pulls out the same brands of misinformation as its foes. If we have to deceive to save encryption we’ve lost already.