The Flow of History
I am always delighted by the (rare) stories in Medium that present a new (to me) way of thinking about things. This story is one. I am motivated to read further.
In searching your book titles, I am intrigued by Black Swan. I have long concluded that the direction of history is strongly moved by tiny events with great effects. In that way, society is a chaotic system, as science defines chaos. Small, unpredictable events such as the virus that killed Genghis Kahn at the walls of Vienna, or the brit that did not shoot Hitler in World War One when he could have, have enormous consequences. I suspect that the Black Swans of history have origins in the most minute of events.
I suspect that combining of the rules of chaos (in the Vizinczey sense as well as the scientific sense), the black swan understanding, and this understanding of the power of the minority would produce a very useful concept of the flow of history.