Why wearables are not going to be big in 2014?
Andy Grove talks about 10X disruption as inflection points and to create a massive industry around a new technology, one needs a reason for that fundamental shift.
Here are my simple hypothesis about this
a. If we were to ask how insanely valuable is to have computing power in your pocket versus having it at home, this equation does some provide some inight.
computing power at home <<<< Computing power in your pocket
but computing power on your wrist / eyewear > computing power in your pocket.
That ‘>>>>’ does not exist here. Its just ‘>’
b. What could wearables do that phone cannot — Body sensors, mood sensors, medical sensors, fitness sensors and what else? All these purposes are isolated, they impact you but they are not connected to others.
c. Wearables isn’t to be written off. We have to wait for its next Avatar 3-5 years from now, when IoT will allow the wearable to connect and harness our environment — then it will be significant advantage. I also bet on human chips.
The next wave isn’t about connecting 7 billion human beings over internet, its about connecting every thing that exists on planet earth on to it. We must create for that at large.
Email me when Rish publishes or recommends stories