Absolutely. It goes further back than that all the way to the Spanish fighting in the Netherlands. That was also a guerilla conflict that the Dutch had “no chance of winning” because of the overwhelming preponderance of force the Spanish had.
Unless they are willing to simply kill everyone a protracted guerilla campaign is a very serious threat for exactly the reasons you have outlined.
Whether that’s good or not, or if we want to go there is another subject. I don’t want to see that happen. You don’t. None of us do.
Maintaining the balance between the an armed government and a free people is part of preventing that from happening.