Feingold should be back
Republican Ron Johnson defeated 18 year Senator Russ Feingold in the 2010 Tea Party wave. This time Johnson, who has developed a reputation for questionable comments, will try to save his vulnerable seat by “a strategy of tying Feingold to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.” Johnson has said he will “support but not endorse” Trump. Stylistically, the challenger Feingold is more polished (held the seat for three terms), whereas Johnson is more off the cuff and “tells it like it is” (called for single moms to work at day care where their kids were for example).
A Monmouth University poll showed Fiengold with a 13 point lead, higher name ID, favorability and greater base loyalty (“More than 9-in-10 Clinton voters (92%) are voting party line by supporting Feingold, while 6% are backing Johnson. Fewer Trump voters (84%) are staying in the Republican column by backing Johnson, while 15% are supporting Feingold. “)
A possible positive sign for Johnson is a Aug 25–8 Montmouth poll suggested that he is catching up (“Feingold leads 48 percent to 45 percent, which is a notable decrease from Feingold’s 53 percent to 42 percent lead in the previous poll.”) and Trumps trends may be better than Clinton’s in Wisoconsin (“Trump’s…unfavorable ratings have remained about the same while Clinton’s have worsened”)
Wisconsin’s congressional “delegation has a total of 8 members, including 5 Republicans and 3 Democrats.”
The three Ds are in CD-2 Madison D+17, CD-4 Milawakee D+22, and CD 3 La Cross D+6. The Republican CDs 6–8 are thinly R, while the 5th is R +12, and Paul Ryan’s 1st District is R+3.