Bitcoin Halving: How It Works and Why It Matters for Investing

Sand Hill Web3 Fund
4 min readAug 18, 2023

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Satoshi Nakamoto set the maximum supply of Bitcoin to 21 million. The supply of Bitcoin is increasing every day with a mathematical formula. The inflation rate of Bitcoin supply will reduce every 4 years with halving event. He knows that it is impossible to buy the whole supply of Bitcoin.

Halving role in controlling the supply of new Bitcoins is one of the reasons the world’s most popular cryptocurrency is seen as a store of value that’s more akin to gold than a fiat currency.

Let’s break it down in more detail…

Introduction

Bitcoin, the first and most prominent cryptocurrency, has gained significant attention in recent years. One key event that captures the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike is the Bitcoin halving. In this article, we will explore how Bitcoin halving works and why it is an important consideration for investors.

“Bitcoin is a remarkable cryptographic achievement, and the ability to create something that is not duplicable in the digital world has enormous value” — Eric Schmidt, CEO of Google.

Understanding Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin halving is an integral part of the cryptocurrency’s design. It refers to the reduction of the mining reward given to miners for confirming transactions and adding new blocks to the blockchain. This event occurs approximately every four years or after 210,000 blocks have been mined. The reward is halved, hence the term “halving.”

The mechanism behind Bitcoin Halving

When Bitcoin was created, its pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, implemented a controlled issuance of new coins to maintain scarcity and prevent inflation.

At the moment, Bitcoin has an inflation rate of less than 2%, which will decrease with further halvings.

In the image below, you can see Bitcoin’s inflation rate during each period. The orange line is Bitcoin’s inflation rate during a given period, while the blue line is the total number of bitcoins issued.

Initially, the block reward was set at 50 bitcoins. However, through halving events, this reward gets cut in half. In 2012, it reduced to 25 bitcoins per block, and in 2016, it further dropped to 12.5 bitcoins. The most recent halving event occurred in May 2020, reducing the reward to 6.25 bitcoins.

When is the next Bitcoin Halving?

The Bitcoin algorithm dictates halving happens based on a certain creation of blocks. Nobody knows exactly when the next halving will occur, but experts point to May 2024 as an anticipated date. That would be almost exactly four years since the last one.

The somewhat predictable nature of Bitcoin halvings was designed so that it’s not a major shock to the network, experts say.

While there are many other factors influencing Bitcoin’s price, it does seem that halving events are generally bullish for the cryptocurrency after initial volatility eases.

It’s worth noting that it’s not just the timing of the halving that matters, but also the growth in the number of cryptocurrency users. The network continues to gain momentum, thus bitcoin strengthens its position as a global store of value.

The importance of Bitcoin Halving for investors

1. Scarcity and Increased Demand: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins makes it inherently scarce. Halving events significantly reduce the rate at which new coins enter circulation, putting a downward pressure on supply. As supply decreases, and demand remains constant or increases, basic economic principles suggest that the price of Bitcoin may potentially rise.

2. Market Sentiment and Speculation: Bitcoin halving events tend to generate buzz and speculation in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Investors and traders closely monitor these events, anticipating potential price movements. Such increased attention can lead to heightened volatility in the market, presenting both opportunities and risks for investors.

3. Long-Term Investment Considerations: Bitcoin halving underscores the long-term investment potential of the cryptocurrency. By reducing the supply of new coins, halving events emphasize the importance of holding Bitcoin as a store of value, akin to digital “gold.” This perspective may give rise to a “hodl” (hold) mentality among investors, further influencing price dynamics.

4. Mining Economics: Bitcoin halving significantly impacts the economics of mining. As the mining reward dwindles, smaller and less efficient miners may find it less profitable to continue their operations. This increased competition puts pressure on miners to improve efficiency and reduce costs to remain competitive and profitable. Understanding these dynamics can be useful for investors looking to gain insights into the mining industry.

Conclusion

Bitcoin halving plays a crucial role in the Bitcoin ecosystem, affecting its supply, demand, and market dynamics. By reducing the mining reward and maintaining scarcity, halving events contribute to the perception of Bitcoin as a valuable asset. For investors, understanding how Bitcoin halving works and recognizing its significance can provide insights into potential price movements and long-term investment strategies in the cryptocurrency market.

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Sand Hill Web3 Fund

Since 2013, helping investors gain access to investing in digital assets through a dynamically evolving AI model