An interesting read, and certainly touches on a lot of things that will change over the next thirty years. Some good, some bad, and we as a society will have opportunity to shape our future.

I am not convinced that vehicle maintenance jobs are necessarily lost through autonomous shared vehicles as you suggest. A car needs a service every 15,000km (or whatever distance). For many of us now, that could be once a year. If our car is driving around four times as much, then it will need servicing four times as often, so one quarter the number of the cars would require the same total amount of service, in fact possibly more as they would need to run empty from dropping off one passenger to picking up the next.

Am I reading the wrong blogs that most discussion seems to be about autonomous cars? I see a huge impact of autonomous vehicles in the long-haul transport sector. Truck drivers need to stop to rest, eat, not lose attention while driving. AV trucks could drive depot to depot, with humans to unload, load and perform maintenance. Delivery truck drivers will still be needed for time to come for their role at each stop on the trip — internet-ordered groceries can’t walk themselves up the stairs, but the supermarket staff can unload the unmanned semi-trailer at the loading dock.