…uture of Humanity Institute surveyed a panel of AI researchers on timelines for AGI, and found that “researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years” (Grace et al, 2017). We’ve personally spoken with a number of sane and reasonable AI prac…A Beginner’s Guide to AI/ML 🤖👶39K86Vishal MainiSteven DemmlerFollowAug 29, 2017 · 1 min readYour article is wonderful. This quote, however… 50%? So they said they have no mathematical clue at all.