The 2024 Election: Addressing the Intersection of Caste, Religion, and Voting Preferences

Dr Shikhar Tyagi
3 min readApr 23, 2024

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In the impending 2024 general elections of India, the intricate interplay of caste and religion alongside other social factors will significantly mold voting preferences across the nation. This exploration delves into the multifaceted influence of caste, religion, language, and region on electoral dynamics, drawing insights from various sources and statistical data.

Caste Dynamics: A Dominant Force
Caste, deeply ingrained in Indian society, continues to wield significant influence over electoral outcomes. Recent studies indicate that caste demographics, such as the proportion of Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs), heavily impact political strategies, particularly in states like Bihar where such demographics hold substantial sway. The ongoing discourse around a potential nationwide caste census underscores the evolving nature of caste dynamics and its implications for political representation. The Bihar caste census revealed that OBCs and EBCs constitute 63% of the state’s population, setting a precedent for electoral strategies tailored to these demographics.

Religious Affiliation: A Compelling Factor
Religion remains a compelling factor in voter decision-making, with individuals often considering candidates’ religious backgrounds when casting their ballots. This trend is particularly pronounced in regions characterized by religious diversity, as highlighted by research from the Pew Research Center. Understanding religious sentiments and their alignment with political narratives is essential for parties vying for electoral success. The Pew Research Center’s study found that religion played a role in voting decisions for 64% of Indian adults, emphasizing the significant impact of religious affiliation on electoral behavior.

Language and Regional Identity
Language and regional affiliations subtly shape voter preferences, reflecting a deep-seated attachment to linguistic and cultural identities. Voters frequently rally behind parties and candidates advocating for the preservation and promotion of their regional heritage, underscoring the significance of regional pride in electoral politics.

Analyzing statistical data offers valuable insights into the intricate dynamics of caste, religion, language, and region in electoral behavior. Surveys such as the ABP Cvoter Survey reveal diverse perspectives on issues like the caste census, shedding light on the nuanced perceptions of voters and their impact on electoral outcomes. The ABP Cvoter Survey indicated varied opinions on whether the caste census issue would benefit the opposition, with 46.4% of respondents believing it would not, while 36.8% thought it would.
As India approaches the 2024 elections, the convergence of caste, religion, language, and region in shaping voting preferences underscores the nation’s rich diversity and complex electoral landscape. Political parties must navigate these multifaceted dynamics by engaging with diverse communities and addressing their distinct needs and concerns. By embracing inclusivity and understanding the diverse fabric of Indian society, parties can forge meaningful connections with voters and foster a more robust democratic process.

For a comprehensive understanding of the statistical data and cited sources, further exploration of the provided references is recommended to gain deeper insights into India’s electoral dynamics in the upcoming 2024 elections.

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Dr Shikhar Tyagi

Dr. Shikhar Tyagi, Assistant Professor at Christ Deemed to be University, specializes in Probability Theory, Frailty Models, Survival Analysis, and more.