NFL 2019 Week 10 Predictions

Siddhant Thakur
Nov 5 · 6 min read

What just happened? xD. My model actually pulled it off. Believe me 11–3 that too for a tough week is great. Week 9 predictions were very risky but the model actually freaking pulled it off. The Chiefs vs Vikings, Steelers vs Colts and Ravens vs Pats, these were a few of the tough ones to predict especially the Patriots one. All hail Tyreek Hill, Minkah Fitzpatrick and Lamar Jackson. Matt Moore has also been good for the Chiefs in the absence of Mahomes. Jimmy G completely carrying 49ers whose defence didn’t really show up for most of the game. Meanwhile Dolphins won xD. I actually kind of saw this coming, like there would be once when Dolphins prove my model wrong. So are Bengals the worst team now?

Before we get started with the Week 10 predictions, let’s see how the model did in Week 9.

  1. San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: CORRECT.
  2. Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: INCORRECT.
  3. Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles: CORRECT.
  4. Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs: CORRECT.
  5. Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers: CORRECT.
  6. New York Jets at Miami Dolphins: INCORRECT.
  7. Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills: CORRECT.
  8. Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers: CORRECT.
  9. Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders: INCORRECT.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks: CORRECT.
  11. Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers: CORRECT.
  12. Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos: CORRECT.
  13. New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens: CORRECT.
  14. Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: CORRECT.

Week 9: 11–3

Overall: 56–31

Moooving on to this week’s predictions.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders: The model favours the Oakland Raiders with 58% probability of winning with the score being Raiders 25, Chargers 20. Finally, my model predicts a Raiders win and I don’t know why but the Raiders have a habit of proving my model wrong. I hope the same for this week. Thanks Raiders.

2. New York Giants at New York Jets: The model favours the New York Jets with 53% probability of winning with the score being Jets 22, Giants 20. Giants were playing quite well or maybe the Cowboys were shit till half-time though after that, oh man it is not working out for Danny and Saquon’s team. Though this game they face Jets, who lost to ahem..ahem..the Dolphins, so there might be some hope for the Giants’ 3rd win of the season.

3. Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: The model favours the New Orleans Saints with 82% probability of winning with the score being Saints 30, Falcons 20. Both teams coming directly from the bye week but to be honest we all know who the winner is. Just look at that probability. Damn.

That Probability though…

4. Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans: The model favours the Kansas City Chiefs with 51% probability of winning with the score being Titans 23, Chiefs 26. Can Tyreek Hill and Matt Moore carry on the Chiefs’ away win streak? Or will Marcus Mariota turn it around in the Sunday’s matchup? Close game.

5. Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: The model favours the Baltimore Ravens with 59% probability of winning with the score being Bengals 22, Ravens 23. Don’t know why the score is this close though it should be an easy win for the Ravens. After ending Pats winning streak, the Ravens look forward to continue Bengals losing streak. xD

6. Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns: The model favours the Buffalo Bills with 60% probability of winning with the score being Browns 19, Bills 23. I’m quite surprised Browns haven’t been able to come off even after putting OBJ and Baker together. Bills, on the other hand, have been quite good. Their away win streak could be stretched to 4–0 as the Browns don’t really like to win at home. :P

love the guy who clicked this

7. Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The model favours the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 62% probability of winning with the score being Buccaneers 25, Cardinals 19. A close loss for the Buccaneers against Seahawks last week while the Cardinals came 3 points short against the 49ers side. Though this game might go anywhere, as always I’ll back my model. GO WINSTON.

8. Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: The model favours the Chicago Bears with 55% probability of winning with the score being Bears 26, Lions 23. This match will just settle who gets the bottom spot in the NFC North. Bears might want to end their woeful ongoing streak.

9. Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts: The model favours the Indianapolis Colts with 73.3% probability of winning with the score being Colts 27, Dolphins 17. Dolphins must be done for this season after all there are other shite teams for them to compete against. Should be an easy win for Colts or we might see some Fitzmagic, who knows.

need this tee xD

10. Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers: The model favours the Carolina Panthers with 52% probability of winning with the score being Packers 23, Panthers 26. Green Bay Packers were practically shut down till the half by the Chargers, that should’ve hurt Rodgers’ ego. Interesting matchup. Packers would definitely be fired up. Panthers too.

11. Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers: The model favours the Pittsburgh Steelers with 57% probability of winning with the score being Steelers 25, Rams 24. Steelers prediction for last week surprised me and the same can be said for this week’s. How? My model might like Steelers too much. :P Though I don’t think I’ll be lucky the second time, especially against a fresh Rams’ side.

12. Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys: The model favours the Dallas Cowboys with 64% probability of winning with the score being Cowboys 25, Vikings 24. Yeah a must watch game again. Cowboys destroyed the Giants in the 4th quarter while Vikings lost a close game against the Chiefs. Should be a good one.

13. Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: The model favours the San Francisco 49ers with 66% probability of winning with the score being 49ers 26, Seahawks 21. Ooooh a great game for Monday Night Football. I really want the 49ers to continue their winning streak for like till the end of the regular season and then maybe just win the Superbowl and I’m not even a 49ers fan T_T. Just for the lols.

Well that’s it for this week. Only 13 matches, damn this week would be short ://

Aww man…

As always I’m hoping for 50%+ win to loss ratio for the model xD.

Thanks for tuning in for this week. Buh-Byee.

The project is available on my github.

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