Global Mortgage Lending Market Size Forecast: Anticipated Growth and Key Trends 2030

Swati Tiwari
3 min readSep 22, 2023


The global mortgage lending market is set to embark on a remarkable journey of expansion, with a projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10% from 2023 to 2030, according to a comprehensive market analysis. The market is poised to reach a substantial valuation of approximately US$25 billion by the end of 2030, showcasing promising opportunities and key challenges within the industry.

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Market Analysis in Brief

Mortgage lending institutions play a pivotal role in facilitating homeownership by offering loans for real estate acquisition and refinancing. Mortgage lending organizations assess applicants’ creditworthiness and ability to repay loans, ultimately forging agreements that empower individuals to own property without bearing the full financial burden upfront.

The desire for homeownership remains a driving force for the mortgage lending industry. Technological advancements and streamlined application processes have broadened consumer choices, while software innovations have expedited applications, reduced lender expenses, and enhanced customer satisfaction.

Key Report Findings

The forthcoming years are set to witness substantial revenue growth in the mortgage lending market, fueled by advancements in underwriting automation and the application of machine learning. Conventional loans continue to dominate the market, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage category holding a majority share in 2022. Fixed-rate mortgages, with their stable interest rates, maintained a significant market revenue share in the same year.

Geographically, North America continues to lead the way, with Europe’s mortgage lending market poised for robust growth through 2030.

Growth Drivers

  1. Streamlined Loan Application Procedures: Quick approval timelines and simplified application processes, often completed online, enable small business owners to access the capital they need promptly, bolstering market expansion.
  2. Greater Emphasis on Loan Process Digitization: Digitization within the financial services sector has ushered in efficiency and improved customer experiences. Investments in digital technologies by FinTech companies have further accelerated growth in the mortgage lending market.
  3. Widespread Availability of Enormous Sums of Money: Mortgage lending provides small businesses with access to substantial capital, making it a pivotal factor in market growth.

Growth Challenges

  1. Rising Rates of Mortgage Interest: Escalating interest rates, influenced by supply and demand dynamics, credit availability, and inflation, pose a significant challenge to market expansion.

Overview of Key Segments

  1. Conventional Loans to Dominate: Conventional loans are expected to maintain dominance due to their quicker processing times and reduced requirements compared to government-insured loans. The use of APIs and open banking is anticipated to accelerate market growth.
  2. Fixed Rate Mortgage Interest Rate Rises High: Fixed-rate mortgages, known for their stability, are expected to maintain a stronghold in the market, while adjustable-rate mortgages may become more attractive as general interest rates rise.

Growth Opportunities Across Regions

  1. North America Continues to Spearhead: North America’s robust mortgage lending market is bolstered by government-sponsored programs and institutions, promoting homeownership. The loan brokers industry is set to benefit from increasing consumer confidence and competitive lending rates.
  2. Europe Emerges as One of the Fastest Growing Markets: Europe’s real estate market is witnessing a surge in demand, driven by rising income levels and increased affordability. Housing finance companies (HFCs) and banks play a vital role in providing mortgage financing in the region.

Mortgage Lending Market: Competitive Landscape

Leading players in the mortgage lending market, including Standard Chartered PLC, BNP Paribas, Royal Bank of Canada, and others, are poised to capitalize on the industry’s growth. These institutions, along with emerging FinTech players, continue to shape the future of mortgage lending.

As the global mortgage lending market surges ahead, stakeholders are well-positioned to leverage the prevailing growth opportunities while navigating the challenges on the horizon. The market’s trajectory remains one of optimism, driven by the enduring aspiration for homeownership and the evolving landscape of financial technology.

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