The Lindy effect and betting on things that never change

The Lindy effect is the idea that the future life expectancy of non-perishable things like books, technologies and ideas is proportional to their current age implying that for every additionally period they survive, their life expectancy increases.

The current NYTimes best sellers list. How many of these will “survive” 10 years from now?

Lindy Compatibility

“When it comes to ideas, books, technologies, procedures, institutions and political systems under Lindy, there is no intrinsic aging and perishability. A physical copy of War and Peace can age; the book itself as an idea doesn’t”

Lindy as a business strategy

  • Convenience
  • Getting from A to B as quickly/cheaply as possible
  • Knowledge/information
  • Interaction with others
  • Entertainment
  • Intimacy
  • Purpose



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