Where is that evidence? Nowhere I can find.
The Myth of a Superhuman AI
Kevin Kelly
1.5K144

In my AAAI Presidential address (and forthcoming paper in AI Magazine) I cite data from SAT solvers, chess, go, and poker, where we have seen pretty steady exponential growth in capability. I report data on accuracy for speech and object recognition which, if transformed to log(odds of correct) looks pretty linear over time. So for well-defined tasks with lots of industrial investment, we are observing exponential performance improvements. Some is due to improved hardware, but at least as much is due to improved algorithms, increased data, etc.

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