Sep 3, 2018 · 1 min read
I second John Elbing’s call-out to Daniel Kanheman’s Thinking Fast and Slow. What makes it interesting is first, he is the only psychologist to win the Nobel Prize in Economics. He models our information processing on those adapted for rapid response and those requiring a slow response. (He has an amusing anecdote about how almost no professional statisticians have any better intuitive grasp than ordinary humans. Think of the Monty Hall problem.
I don’t know if it’s been mentioned yet: The Central Intelligence Agency has open sourced Richard Heurer’s classic Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (https://goo.gl/37ssJx) with deals in depth with the effects of biases on the quality of intelligence estimates.
