Five Theses for a New Left For the new year, I thought I’d post this piece from 2018 again. I think it’s still relevant! Let’s face it: today’s left is in a terrible muddle, caught between a world that once was and a world that still isn’t. Most of the…

Against Degrowth Today many on the left argue for the necessity for a radically-restructured economy linked to ecological sustainability. The idea here is that the pursuit of economic growth is leading to an “uninhabitable earth”, as David Wallace-Wells has put it, thereby threatening the continued existence of humanity. Growth should…

Racism Is a Lazy Explanation for a Complex Political Phenomenon Trying to understand the rise of Trump and, in particular, the surge of white working class voters to his banner is a challenge. It is understandable that appalled observers reach for simple explanations that cleanly separate the righteous from those…

Could Arizona Be the Key to the 2020 Election? Bill Galston thinks so in his analysis of the electoral landscape based on (what else?) my new report. “Mr. Trump is in trouble in two of the states he narrowly dislodged from the Blue Wall in 2016. His job approval rating…

On the Other Hand, Trump Is Definitely in Serious Trouble, Perhaps Most Importantly with White Noncollege Women I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again. The key demographic in the 2020 election is likely to be white noncollege women. If Trump loses enough support among this group, he’s done. …

Is Trump Doomed? Probably Not EJ Dionne uses his latest column in the Washington Post to tackle this issue, in the process discussing the implications of my latest report. “The situation Democrats face is…more treacherous than they might want to believe, given that a flailing Trump seems to be losing…

Trump Has No Room for Error Ron Brownstein has just published an excellent analysis on the Atlantic site based on my new Path to 270 in 2020 report. If you can’t read my report, at least read this article! Brownstein: “The risk in Donald Trump’s base-first electoral strategy is only…

The Path to 270 in 2020: It’s Out! Just published today. All your questions (well, maybe not all) answered about the 2020 election and how Trump can be dethroned or (ugh) get four more years. From the intro: “The big question heading into 2020 is whether President Trump and Republicans…

The Path to 270 in 2020! It’s coming out this Thursday from CAP, authored by myself and my colleague John Halpin! In the report we discuss in detail what the Democratic nominee, whoever he or she may, needs to do to put together the requisite 270 EVs, as well as…