Brexit: A Tale of Uncertainty
You step into the booth, determined to play your part in English history. To this point, you had no strong inclination towards “Leave” or “Stay”.
As you pick up your pen, your eyes stare at the options. “This is your chance! Britain may never have another chance at sovereignty!” shouts your conscience. As your pride leads you towards the box marked “Leave”, a million thoughts weigh down on your shoulders.
“Will we be OK if we leave? What about my neighbors who work in the auto industry? Are they going to be laid off? What will happen to my friendships in the EU? Will my employer shift to another city? Will the pound depreciate? Is this the best choice for my kids? Will I be happy with this decision 10 years down the road? 20?”
Will I be happy with this decision 10 years down the road?
Uncertainty pulses through your veins. You pause, then pull back your pen. “I need to think this through one more time” you tell yourself, as you stare at the long line of voters behind you.
You swallow your anxiety, and think to yourself: “Why am I voting when I can’t even begin to imagine the impact on my life, my family, my friends?”
Eyes closed, you take a deep breath, trust your gut instinct, and apprehensively make your vote.
A Risk-Averse Society
Unlike a presidential election, where the general public is easily demarcated based on political views, there remains a large crowd of indecisive voters who will have to make an important decision when they vote this Thursday.
When we order at a restaurant, we’re usually pretty indecisive. Sure some of us may be bold and try something daring. But most of us probably settled for the ‘safe’ option. Brexit is no different. There may be fence sitters who follow their desires for sovereignty and autonomy but the majority of the undecided will probably lean towards the safer option with less uncertainty.
As our fictitious voter illustrated, there will be too many unanswered questions come polling day. A swirling vortex of uncertainty will almost certainly nudge the undecided towards the safer, more certain path. History has shown us time and again that people tend to stick to the status quo; few are brave enough to take the leap of faith forward towards a new path. Regardless, when “30% of people will change the way they vote… in the week before… with half of these only deciding on polling day”, the reaction of fence sitters will ultimately dictate the future of the UK.
I guess we’ll find out in the next 24 hours.