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Peter Miller
Peter Miller

1.2K Followers

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Jan 6, 2024

I bet $100,000 to try to settle the lab leak debate

Rootclaim is an organization that tries to answer controversial questions through probabilistic analysis. They offer a “Rootclaim Challenge” for anyone willing to challenge their conclusions. The challenger must make a $100,000 bet and hold a debate in front of two neutral judges. …

Science

3 min read

I bet $100,000 to try to settle the lab leak debate
I bet $100,000 to try to settle the lab leak debate
Science

3 min read


Dec 17, 2023

Comparing the first wave of Covid in New York City and Wuhan

I’ve spent a lot of time lately reviewing the details of what happened in Wuhan, back in 2019. One thing that struck me is just how much worse New York City got hit with the first wave of Covid, compared to Wuhan. Here’s a graph of excess deaths in each…

Science

10 min read

Comparing the first wave of covid in New York City and Wuhan
Comparing the first wave of covid in New York City and Wuhan
Science

10 min read


Dec 3, 2023

ChatGPT plays hangman

ChatGPT can draw and understand images. I’ve been trying out various tests to see what it understands and what it does not:

AI

2 min read

ChatGPT plays hangman
ChatGPT plays hangman
AI

2 min read


Dec 1, 2023

How much porn does the average person watch?

In another article, I expressed surprise that some people look for porn by simply typing “porn” into Google. I would have guessed they would type “pornhub”, or just press the ‘P’ key and let autocomplete do the rest. Porn is actually one of the most common things people type into…

Porn

8 min read

How much porn does the average person watch?
How much porn does the average person watch?
Porn

8 min read


Nov 30, 2023

Is Biden too old to be president?

Joe Biden is 81. If re-elected, he’ll be 82 on the first day of his second term and 86 on the last day. Biden’s first term started at 78. He was already older than any other president in history: Looking at an actuarial table, the odds Biden will live to…

Politics

5 min read

Is Biden too old to be president?
Is Biden too old to be president?
Politics

5 min read


Published in

Microbial Instincts

·Sep 1, 2023

The pandemic is over but I still got Covid

Calling the pandemic over harms our ability to fight Covid, in a number of ways. — On May 11th, 2023, the Covid public health emergency ended in the United States. The pandemic was officially over. Biden, himself, has been calling the pandemic over since last September. This August, I hit a more personal milestone. …

Coronavirus

11 min read

The pandemic is over but I still got Covid
The pandemic is over but I still got Covid
Coronavirus

11 min read


Aug 30, 2023

Science will likely never find a safe drug for anxiety.

A recent article in Quillette suggests that there’s a simple cure for alcoholism: we can just switch alcoholics onto other drugs. The drugs suggested in the article are called non-benzodiazepines anticonvulsants (NBACs). The author gives a specific list: Medications that fall into the NBACs category were developed in the 20th…

Science

23 min read

Science will likely never find a safe drug for anxiety.
Science will likely never find a safe drug for anxiety.
Science

23 min read


Aug 13, 2023

CO2 is just plant food

Bjorn Lomborg likes to argue that Carbon Dioxide is good for plants:

Climate Change

9 min read

CO2 is just plant food.
CO2 is just plant food.
Climate Change

9 min read


Published in

DataDrivenInvestor

·Jul 19, 2023

The case for buying verizon and AT&T

A leaded telephone cables scandal might have created a buying opportunity — I occasionally make stock market predictions here. Mostly I write about climate change, but it’s fun to sometimes make predictions on other things. For instance, some climate change deniers like to say that global warming is fake because climate scientists can’t predict the stock market:

Investing

8 min read

The case for buying Verizon and AT&T
The case for buying Verizon and AT&T
Investing

8 min read


Jun 25, 2023

Ice ages and climate change

Most of us are aware that the world is getting warmer. Most of us are also vaguely aware that the world was much colder in the past. The world has gone through ice ages. 20,000 years ago, all of Canada was covered in ice.

Climate Change

17 min read

Ice ages and climate change
Ice ages and climate change
Climate Change

17 min read

Peter Miller

Peter Miller

1.2K Followers

Everything is illuminated.

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