What to Expect from the Second Half of Donald Trump’s First Term

Thus far the president has been lucky. It may not last.

The Economist
5 min readJan 4, 2019

--

Illustration: bortonia/Getty Images

Donald Trump’s nerve-jangling presidential term began its second half with a federal-government shut down, seesawing markets and the ejection of reassuring cabinet members like Generals John Kelly and James Mattis. As Mr Trump’s opponents called this a disaster, his supporters lambasted their criticism as hysterical — wasn’t everybody saying a year ago that it was sinister to have so many generals in the cabinet?

A calm assessment of the Trump era requires those who admire America to unplug themselves from the news cycle for a minute. As the next phase of the president’s four-year term begins, three questions need answering. How bad is it really? How bad could it get? And how should Americans, and foreign governments, prepare for the Trump Show’s second season?

Mr Trump is so polarising that his critics brush off anything that might count as an achievement. Shortly before Christmas he signed a useful, bipartisan criminal-justice reform into law. Some of the regulatory changes to schools and companies have been helpful. In foreign affairs the attempt to change the terms of America’s economic relations with China is welcome, too. But any orthodox Republican president enjoying the backing of both…

--

--

The Economist

Insight and opinion on international news, politics, business, finance, science, technology, books and arts.