WEEK 6

The Sports Gamblers
3 min readOct 12, 2023

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Thursday Night Football

Denver Broncos

@ Kansas City Chiefs (-11) (47)

What can we say here? This should be Chiefs all the way! This should be the week that Mahomes gets fat in the stat books and we should have a blowout. After all, the reports are that over 90% of the money is coming in on the Chiefs. Makes sense. The Denver defense has been terrible. The Dolphins put up 70 on them. Probably more surprising is the 35 and 31 they gave up to the Commanders and Jets. All surprises but we may have had some foreshadowing. They were giving up points in bunches to end the year last season. 51 to the Rams, 27 and 28 to the Chargers and Chiefs and that’s a cool 100 given up in the last 3 games last year. This year hasn’t gotten any better and there isn’t any reason to think tonight will be any different. We know one thing and that is this. The Chiefs are going to score a ton of points tonight! We look to the line with some trepidation though. The Broncos play the Chiefs tight. Both games last year were decided by 1 score. We think that both teams are exactly where they found themselves last season and we had two tight games. The Denver offense appears to be getting better and they can score. These are not good enough reasons to bet any money on the Broncos but maybe enough to make us hesitant on our Chiefs bet. OK! We are over it! Chiefs all the way here. The Bronco’s burned us last week against the crappy Jets and we won’t give them the opportunity again. The season there is a debacle and it’s time to take advantage.

The Chiefs are the Chiefs! We had some questions but they’ve been answered. At this point there is no reason to believe that they won’t be there at the end, And this should be an easy one for them. A stepping stone on there way to the playoffs! This is a get right game for them and we expect the stats to fly. Andy Reid knows he has to get his offense going and then boom! Here comes the worst ranked defense coming to town. We expect the Chiefs to do what the Chiefs do and we think they score 30–40 tonight. This should be good enough to cover and we will lay the 11.

We are also looking at the Over as well. We do like the Denver offense to score some points and we think the Chiefs are definitely in the 30’s tonight. Do the math and it should be an easy Over!

PICK:

Kansas City Chiefs (-11)

OVER (47)

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Odds Via Draftkings Sportsbook

Published 10/12/23

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