Aug 29// What would happen if an election was held tomorrow?

Before the last election, I created an Election forecast to predict the result on June 8th. My final prediction was slightly off, predicting a 6.3% Conservative lead, rather than the eventual 2.5% lead, so I’ve changed the methodology slightly, and this is the forecast as of August 29th.

Poll tracker
Seat projection = CON 296, LAB 281, SNP 36, LIB DEM 14
Labour lead since April
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