Natural gas prices are is leading the news after their run-up over the last quarter of last year. The price is currently (15th Jan 2022) around £203/therm and the futures market doesn’t show any easing until after March. After March, the price eases by approx. 20% to just over £160/therm.

In the UK, our Office of National statistics (ONS) calculates our inflation rate. The main statistics are the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) and are both weighted to represent “goods and services typically bought by households”. …

It could be confirmation bias or am I starting to pick up similar signals from quite disparate sources? One of my favourite YouTube channels is TRIGGERnometry. “TRIGGERnometry is a free speech YouTube show and podcast” which, by virtue of its selection of controversial issues that divide opinion, might not be…

The ONS published November’s inflation update yesterday revealing a 0.9 percentage point jump in annual Consumer Prices since October. This is made up of a +0.7 point net increase in prices since October 2021 plus a ‘base effect’ of +0.2 points caused by the fall November 2020 monthly CPI . …

Since the ‘Great Financial Crisis’ got going in 2008 the UK’s money supply has grown by around 240% while GDP has grown at about half that rate. …