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Aug 19, 2020

What’s the Value of Winning an NHL Faceoff?

Sure, it creates possession for one team over the other, but what’s the actual value of that momentary shift in puck control? To find out, we’ll use linear regression. What’s a regression? Basically, it’s model-building that explains a numerical relationship between two variables (X & Y). Y = some function…

2 min read

What’s the Value of Winning an NHL Faceoff?
What’s the Value of Winning an NHL Faceoff?

Aug 19, 2020

How Much is Mookie Betts Worth?

Recently, Mookie signed a 12-year, $365 million contract extension with the Los Angeles Dodgers, meaning he’ll earn $392 million over the next 13 seasons. Here, we’ll try to get a ballpark value for Mookie’s projected dollar value over that span. We’ll use two sets of values: league payroll (via Spotrac)…

2 min read

How Much is Mookie Betts Worth?
How Much is Mookie Betts Worth?

Aug 18, 2020

New Application(s) of Expected Goals

Because goals scored is a measure that involves a high volume of noise and variability, NHL analysts often use expected goals to provide a more nuanced look at a team’s quality of scoring opportunities. Explaining xG Expected goals (xG), much like expected points in football, measure the likelihood that a team scores…

2 min read


Aug 15, 2020

Why Are MLB Games Getting Longer?

In 2019, the average MLB game was three hours and 10 minutes, 13 minutes longer than in 1999 (3:10). The discussion of whether that additional time is what’s (allegedly) driving people away from the game is for another time; today I want to look at something else: From where are…

2 min read


Jun 25, 2020

Relative Corsi Above Expectation: A New Hockey Stat

Advanced stats in hockey have taken major leaps and bounds in the last decade or so, but they still have a ways to go in today’s data-driven landscape. One of the most popular is Corsi percentage, which measures the percentage of shots attempted for your team at 5v5 while you’re…

3 min read


Jun 24, 2020

What the hell is “EPA”?

If you’ve so much as dipped your toe into football analytics, you know that “EPA” is a commonly-referenced but seldomly-explained metric. What does it actually mean? Here, I’ll try to explain it in as few characters as possible. EPA stands for “expected points added,” so the root concept is, naturally…

NFL

2 min read

What the hell is “EPA”?
What the hell is “EPA”?
Tucker Boynton

Tucker Boynton

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