Predictions Week 25: #The100 Is Likely To Be Renewed
TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017–18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016–17 season.
The 100 is likely to be renewed.
At the end of this season, its fourth, The 100 will have produced 58 episodes.
While The CW often cancels its ultra low rated shows after 4 seasons, it hasn’t canceled any with fewer than 70 episodes that have gone more than 2 seasons.
- Reign 4 seasons, 78 episodes
- Beauty & The Beast 4 seasons, 70 episodes
- Hart Of Dixie 4 seasons, 76 episodes
- Nikita 4 seasons, 73 episodes
The reaper’s predicting that ~70 episodes (and not 4 seasons) is the crucial threshold for The CW’s renewal decision, and he’s moved the renewal prediction for The 100 to a barely confident 60% on the assumption another ~13 episodes will be ordered.
Why just 60% chance of renewal? If the CW’s threshold is instead “4 seasons” and the number of episodes is irrelevant, as a reasonable person could guess, then the show’s done, and the reaper’s going to suffer a prediction miss. Either way, its current slightly below the CW average ratings aren’t going to matter one way or the other.
While the reaper had intended to wait until iZombie & The Originals premiered to change his The 100 prediction, he decided that their results really don’t change the reasons for the reaper’s conclusions on The 100, so no time like the present.
The reaper had promised that Blacklist:Redemption would be in this week’s headline, but given its ratings increase last week, the reaper will hold off to see if it was a fluke. If the ratings hold, his prediction will adjust upwards.
Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.
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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 23–0–1
- Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Lucifer, Superstore, Star, Lethal Weapon, The Mick, Doubt
- Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.
How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.