Predictions Week 4: #Conviction Is Likely To Be Canceled, #Brooklyn99 Likely Renewed, #Rosewood Now A “Toss Up”


See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017–18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016–17 season. (The table below includes ratings from Sept. 19, 2016 — Oct. 9, 2016)

See the full predictions table at TV Grim

 Conviction is likely to be canceled. Its premiere rating (0.9) tied the ABC season low for a non-Friday scripted show.

Speaking of that ABC scripted non-Friday low, Notorious matched it last week. Unless that was a one time dip, the reaper will be moving his prediction for it back down to likely canceled.

Brooklyn Nine-Nine has a syndication deal on TNT for its first five seasons. While the inclusion of season five in the deal is contingent on renewal, that’s reason enough for the reaper to bump his prediction for it to likely renewed given its current relative ratings.

While most Fox scripted ratings fell from their premieres, Rosewood ratings have risen two weeks in a row, and with them its relative rating. The reaper’s now moved his prediction for it to a “toss up”.

As the reaper always notes, early season predictions are likely to change quickly with ratings results. Stay tuned.
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 The reaper’s running prediction tally this season:

  • Right:
  • Wrong:
  • Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up):



 18–49 Avg. is the average Live+Same Day adults 18–49 rating for in season original episodes of a show it its regular timeslot.

Network average is the average Live+Same Day adults 18–49 rating for all original episodes of all scripted shows on the network. Each network’s ratings average is not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

% Network Average (relative rating): The 18–49 avg of a show/its own network avg.

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.

Originally published at TV Grim Reaper.

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