Spurs-Dubs Game 1 Preview
This is a very difficult game and series to handicap, the uncertainty and unknowns between how these teams match up is the highest of any series to this point in the playoffs. Their head-to-head meetings during the regular season are zero help. These teams haven’t faced off in the playoffs since the 2013 Western Conference semi-finals which featured very different rosters and experience levels. In years past Pop has been extremely tight about what his approach would be to stop the Warriors so we are left to guess at how competitive the Spurs will be over the course of this series. Add to this the Warriors haven’t been tested yet in the playoffs; arguably only been in two competitive games in the last month. Finally, the sample size of “how a team performs after a 35+ point elimination game win without their superstar on the floor” is surprising small. With very little to go on, expecting Spurs to give the Dubs a legit scare in this series and grabbing the very generous prices on Spurs to win and Spurs to win at least 2 games for future hedging opportunities.
As far as game 1 goes, fully expected to plug the under and hope for a competitive game but the Spurs showed up with a looseness and confidence that suggests they are a live dog heading into Game 1. The roll players on the Spurs have shown their ability to provide significant offensive contributions and the team’s intensity level is as high as ever after the events that concluded the Rockets series. The potential for a mis-match with the Warriors bench and a general feel-each-other-out nature to the game makes the TT over and points too good to pass up.
Plus the Spurs have Pop… my personal hero.