96% Accuracy last week by Yoghurt.io & Wikipedia Predictions till 19 August 17

Akhil Sharma
2 min readAug 14, 2017

Last week we had been able to hit the 96% accuracy again and now let’s see how much accurate we would be for our pageviews predictions for next week from 13 August to 19 August.

Domain for Prediction: en_wikipedia_org

Wikipedia Data Link (You can check yourself): https://tools.wmflabs.org/siteviews/?platform=all-access&source=pageviews&agent=user&start=2016-01-01&end=2017-08-12&sites=en.wikipedia.org

Last Week What we had predicted: https://medium.com/@yoghurtio/99-accuracy-last-week-by-yoghurt-io-wikipedia-predictions-till-12-august-17-a16b8df0b936

First of all our scorecard:

Last Week’s Prediction Accuracy (Overall ~96%)
Date — Predicted — Actual — Difference %age

2017–08–06 → 229,930,751 ← → 232,128,017 ← → -0.96%
2017–08–07 → 235,616,859 ← → 240,987,218 ← → -2.28%
2017–08–08 → 230,301,297 ← → 237,674,080 ← → -3.20%
2017–08–09 → 228,927,684 ← → 240,278,303 ← → -4.96%
2017–08–10→ 224,937,163 ← → 234,771,303 ← → -4.37%
2017–08–11 → 217,926,201 ← → 225,165,072 ← → -3.32%
2017–08–12 → 210,123,501 ← → 219,733,402 ← → -4.57%

Week Total: Predicted: 1,577,763,456
Week Total: Actual: 1,630,737,395

Overall Accuracy: 96.64%

Next Week Predictions: 13 August — 19 August

Date → Prediction

2017–08–13 → 234,547,955
2017–08–14 → 239,708,561
2017–08–15 → 236,659,832
2017–08–16 → 238,589,651
2017–08–17→ 233,744,414
2017–08–18 → 225,564,899
2017–08–19 → 218,809,743

Week Total: Predicted: 1,627,625,055

As usual it took less than 1 minute to run the prediction and more than 20 minutes to write about it.

Want to do it yourself for Wikipedia again. Follow the steps below.

Step 1: Sign Up: https://yoghurt.io/

Step 2: Download the Excel File Data of wikipedia pageviews. Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/in8vsh48exud0qo/Wiki%2012%20Aug17.xlsx?dl=0

Step 3: Upload it in Yoghurt. That’s it. Done. Enjoy the predictions.

Want to do it for your data, like visitors, conversions, signups, pageviews, just get the data in the excel format as above and start predicting or you can reach to us at care[at]yoghurt.io.

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Akhil Sharma

#simplifying #predictive #analytics through automation and #innovation. Predicting the Unpredictable. Now anyone can predict. https://yoghurt.io