98% Accuracy Last Week & Wikipedia Pageviews Predictions 15 Apr17

So last week we had hit the 98% accuracy and now let’s see how much accurate we would be for our predictions from 09 Apr to 15 Apr.

Domain: en_wikipedia_org

Data Link (You can check yourself): https://tools.wmflabs.org/siteviews/?platform=all-access&source=pageviews&agent=user&start=2016-01-01&end=2017-04-08&sites=en.wikipedia.org

Last Week Predictions Link: https://medium.com/@yoghurtio/oops-just-96-accuracy-last-week-wikipedia-pageviews-predictions-08-apr17-a83616858a65

First of all our scorecard:

Last Week’s Prediction Accuracy (Overall ~98%)

Date — Predicted — Actual — Difference %age

2017–04–02 → 258,386,070 ← → 251,457,574← → 2.68%
2017–04–03 → 261,103,970← → 272,061,323← → -4.20%
2017–04–04 → 260,973,212← → 262,827,644← → -0.71%
2017–04–05 → 255,819,513← → 255,639,817← → 0.07%
2017–04–06 → 246,718,883← → 254,099,272← → -2.99%
2017–04–07→ 234,169,481← → 242,698,879← → -3.64%
2017–04–08 → 227,643,936← → 233,230,934← → -2.45%

Week Total: Predicted: 1,744,815,065

Week Total: Actual: 1,772,015,443

Overall Accuracy: 98.44%

Next Week Predictions: 09 Apr-15 Apr

Date → Prediction

2017–04–09 → 257,088,420
2017–04–10 → 268,679,544
2017–04–11 → 264,318,223
2017–04–12 → 258,637,944
2017–04–13 → 252,751,262
2017–04–14→ 240,326,443
2017–04–15 → 232,009,192

Week Total: Predicted: 1,773,811,028

As usual it took less than 1 minute to run the prediction and more than 20 minutes to write about it.

Want to do it yourself.

Step 1: Sign Up: https://yoghurt.io/

Step 2: Download the Excel File Data of wikipedia pageviews till 25 Mar. Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/832lg910vnw6il0/Wiki%2008Apr.xlsx?dl=0

Step 3: Upload it in Yoghurt. That’s it. Done. Enjoy the predictions.