WikiPedia Pageviews Predictions

Oops just 96% Accuracy Last Week & Wikipedia Pageviews Predictions 08 Apr17

So last week we had hit the 96% accuracy and now let’s see how much accurate we would be for our predictions from 02 Apr to 08 Apr.

Domain: en_wikipedia_org

Data Link (You can check yourself): https://tools.wmflabs.org/siteviews/?platform=all-access&source=pageviews&agent=user&start=2016-01-01&end=2017-04-01&sites=en.wikipedia.org

Last Week Predictions Link: https://medium.com/@yoghurtio/wow-97-accuracy-last-week-wikipedia-pageviews-predictions-26-mar-to-01-apr-b7b756f37240

First of all our scorecard:

Last Week’s Prediction Accuracy (Overall ~96%)

Date — Predicted — Actual — Difference %age

2017–03–26 → 276,897,892 ← → 259,778,385← → 6.18%
2017–03–27 → 278,038,718← → 265,401,507← → 4.55%
2017–03–28 → 275,719,510← → 264,167,894← → 4.19%
2017–03–29 → 266,871,685← → 263,276,748← → 1.35%
2017–03–30 → 258,862,465← → 253,901,928← → 1.92%
2017–03–31 → 246,705,812← → 241,839,575← → 1.97%
2017–04–01 → 245,066,242← → 230,419,522← → 5.98%

Week Total: Predicted: 1,848,162,324

Week Total: Actual: 1,778,785,559

Overall Accuracy: 96.25%

Next Week Predictions: 02 Apr-08 Apr

Date → Prediction

2017–04–02 → 258,386,070
2017–04–03 → 261,103,970
2017–04–04 → 260,973,212
2017–04–05 → 255,819,513
2017–04–06 → 246,718,883
2017–04–07→ 234,169,481
2017–04–08 → 227,643,936

Week Total: Predicted: 1,744,815,065

As usual it took less than 1 minute to run the prediction and more than 20 minutes to write about it.

Want to do it yourself.

Step 1: Sign Up: https://yoghurt.io/

Step 2: Download the Excel File Data of wikipedia pageviews till 25 Mar. Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/i05qcht02husw6o/Wiki%2001Apr17.xlsx?dl=0

Step 3: Upload it in Yoghurt. That’s it. Done. Enjoy the predictions.