Overall 98% Accuracy last week & Wikipedia Pageviews Predictions till 27 May 17

Akhil Sharma
2 min readMay 23, 2017

Last week we had been able to hit the 98% accuracy as usual and now let’s see how much accurate we would be for our predictions from 21 May to 27 May.

Domain: en_wikipedia_org

Data Link (You can check yourself): https://tools.wmflabs.org/siteviews/?platform=all-access&source=pageviews&agent=user&start=2016-01-01&end=2017-05-20&sites=en.wikipedia.org

Last Week Predictions Link: https://medium.com/@yoghurtio/amazing-99-accuracy-last-week-wikipedia-pageviews-predictions-till-20-may-17-23e14b55eb51

First of all our scorecard:

Last Week’s Prediction Accuracy (Overall ~98%)

Date — Predicted — Actual — Difference %age

2017–05–14 → 249,284,395 ← → 249109388 ← → 0.07%
2017–05–15 → 266,683,565 ← → 268622174 ← → -0.73%
2017–05–16 → 258,814,132 ← → 256905060 ← → 0.74%
2017–05–17 → 252,358,902 ← → 257516264 ← → -2.04%
2017–05–18 → 248,023,263 ← → 257557979 ← → -3.84%
2017–05–19 → 235,215,021 ← → 241773391 ← → -2.79%
2017–05–20 → 228,698,581 ← → 233969147 ← → -2.30%

Week Total: Predicted: 1,739,077,859

Week Total: Actual: 1,765,453,403

Overall Accuracy: 98.48%

Next Week Predictions: 21 May — 27 May

Date → Prediction

2017–05–21 → 248,223,287
2017–05–22 → 266,350,753
2017–05–23 → 257,702,994
2017–05–24 → 254,911,444
2017–05–25 → 252,690,153
2017–05–26→ 238,027,656
2017–05–27 → 231,089,172

Week Total: Predicted: 1,748,995,459

As usual it took less than 1 minute to run the prediction and more than 20 minutes to write about it.

Want to do it yourself.

Step 1: Sign Up: https://yoghurt.io/

Step 2: Download the Excel File Data of wikipedia pageviews. Link:https://www.dropbox.com/s/qbczpgx6yrwnoms/Wiki%2020May.xlsx?dl=0

Step 3: Upload it in Yoghurt. That’s it. Done. Enjoy the predictions.

--

--

Akhil Sharma

#simplifying #predictive #analytics through automation and #innovation. Predicting the Unpredictable. Now anyone can predict. https://yoghurt.io