Whew 97% Accuracy Last Week & Wikipedia Pageviews Predictions 06 May 17

So last week we had slipped to hit the 97% accuracy and now let’s see how much accurate we would be for our predictions from 30 Apr to 06 May.

Domain: en_wikipedia_org

Data Link (You can check yourself): https://tools.wmflabs.org/siteviews/?platform=all-access&source=pageviews&agent=user&start=2016-01-01&end=2017-04-29&sites=en.wikipedia.org

Last Week Predictions Link: https://medium.com/@yoghurtio/oops-95-accuracy-last-week-wikipedia-pageviews-predictions-29-apr17-dd6f6cff8ec6

First of all our scorecard:

Last Week’s Prediction Accuracy (Overall ~97%)

Date — Predicted — Actual — Difference %age

2017–04–23 → 257,494,214← → 261,255,081← → -1.46%
2017–04–24 → 276,144,378← → 273,337,637← → 1.02%
2017–04–25 → 267,820,648← → 263,350,189← → 1.67%
2017–04–26 → 268,133,855← → 257,528,069← → 3.96%
2017–04–27 → 260,591,292← → 255,523,347← → 1.94%
2017–04–28→ 250,068,073← → 240,484,340← → 3.83%
2017–04–29 → 241,652,657← → 232,167,442← → 3.93%

Week Total: Predicted: 1,821,905,117

Week Total: Actual: 1,783,646,105

Overall Accuracy: 97.90%

Next Week Predictions: 30 Apr — 06 May

Date → Prediction

2017–04–30 → 249,911,264
2017–05–01 → 265,523,121
2017–05–02 → 257,057,372
2017–05–26 → 254,743,156
2017–05–27 → 249,643,912
2017–05–28→ 237,518,150
2017–05–29 → 228,992,470

Week Total: Predicted: 1,743,389,445

As usual it took less than 1 minute to run the prediction and more than 20 minutes to write about it.

Want to do it yourself.

Step 1: Sign Up: https://yoghurt.io/

Step 2: Download the Excel File Data of wikipedia pageviews till 25 Mar. Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/iygh4cjhl1c5m0b/Wiki%2029Apr.xlsx?dl=0

Step 3: Upload it in Yoghurt. That’s it. Done. Enjoy the predictions.