By Yusuf Shafi

Contemporary political analysis often struggles to find accurate descriptors for the voting patterns of the Texas electorate. Some theorists believe Texas is entrenched as a red state, while others believe Texas has the capabilities to flip blue. In 2018, a blue wave swept across Texas giving Democrats a 47.97% turnout compared to the Republican voter turnout of 50.41%. Despite this, Democrats gained only 2 Congressional representatives, raising them to 13 seats out of the possible 36. Out of these 36 districts, 10 follow a competitive trending margin of victory between +0.01% R to +10.99% R. These 10 Congressional districts have been defined by authors James and Shepard as having a “very high” to “moderate” chance of flipping blue. …

Yusuf M Shafi

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