Analysis of FIFA Rankings and Why It Can’t Be Taken Seriously

Johan Mazorra
Analytics Vidhya
Published in
5 min readMar 6, 2020
Photo by Thomas Serer on Unsplash

How the FIFA World Rankings Work

The FIFA World Rankings are a creation of a logical recipe that attempts to defend a game that can’t be justified. The framework utilizes four variables to figure its positioning for each group:

The first is truly normal; its points earned in a match (M). The group is granted three points for a triumph, one for a draw, and two for a victory in penalties.

The following variable is the significance of the match (I). Cordial matches and small competitions are granted one point, World Cup or Continental qualifiers are granted two, Continental rivalries final or Confederations Cup are granted three, and the World Cup is granted four.

The third factor is the remaining of the restriction, as indicated by the latest FIFA World Rankings that have been distributed (T). Taking 200 and subtracting it from the group’s positioning and afterward partitioning it by 100 figures this part.

The last factor is the confederation’s quality which is C. The quality of the confederations is determined by the mean of the triumphs determined at the last three World Cups.

The equation turns out P= M x I x T x C x 100.

1. The Greatest Issue Lies Within Itself (Ironic isn’t it)

The greatest issue is that the equation utilizes itself within it. A bit of the computation depends on the last positioning the groups were given. So if the computation puts a group as being positioned 30 but has a dash of good games where it beats profoundly positioned groups, the lower group gets helped yet the higher position doesn’t get moved as much on the grounds that their worth is less critical. This considers generally solid groups to hold high positions in any event, when they experience losing streaks and list turnover.

This chart shows the comparison of the total points of the top ten teams between 2013 through 2018.

In this chart, we can analyze that there’s no significant difference between 2014 and 2018 total points of the top ten teams in which both years were the last two World Cups. What’s more, is that both of them have a similar amount of points between them as with the 2013 results. This just doesn’t make any sense whatsoever and goes to show that FIFA has favoritism over certain teams and leagues.

2. There’s No Structure In The Calculations

Another large issue is that the calculation can’t in any way, shape or form figure structure in a game. On the off chance that an awful positioned group can smother the first or second positioned group for each of the hour and a half of the game, the presentation would be taken a gander at as an extraordinary match. The rankings would thus drop this group demonstrated an ability to fight with a solid side. The rankings additionally can’t grant or remove focuses for genuine situations for rivalries.

In the event that a group gets their B crew program and wins with them against a more grounded adversary or loses with them to a more vulnerable rival, the way that the side was debilitated for reasons unknown can’t be placed into the computations. Groups that are facilitating an opposition who don’t have to fit the bill for the competition don’t get an exceptional status on the positioning.This implies if a group is facilitating a competition, they are playing well-disposed matches on global dates rather than the passing matches that their rivals in the competition would play.

This permits rivals to gain more focuses according to the equation than a country that is picked to have a competition.

Comparison between the point average of the teams for the current and past year.

Here we can see the differences between the past year and the current year (which in this case would be 2018) point average, in which as stated above it’s nonsensical since the World Cup was in 2018 where Germany didn’t make it past the group stage and where Italy didn’t even qualify to the World Cup. So according to the FIFA World rankings data, this didn’t make much difference between the two year’s point average for Germany but the point average did actually increase for Italy for the current year. It’s pretty laughable if you asked me.

- At the end of the day, soccer is a game that can’t be justified.

3. Teams Ultimately Get Hurt Depending On What Confederation They’re In

The last tremendous issue is that groups are harmed during the time that a group is fitting the bill for a competition. This is on the grounds that they are just playing groups inside one confederation. In the event that a group is a powerhouse in their gathering, their positioning can’t ascend as much as a center of the pack group in a superior confederation.

So while a country like Austria or Slovakia can be supported during the capability time frame for a significant competition, Mexico or the United States is punished in light of the fact that their confederation isn’t looked seen as solid. There is no factor for consistency in making significant competitions.

In Conclusion

Soccer, similar to any game, is a game that can’t be justified. It is pleasant to have a framework that figures how solid a group is. It assists individuals with reviewing the adversaries of their country, yet like any equation put to figure something in sports other than measurements, the FIFA World Rankings basically can’t get in all the elements.

Link to my code

--

--

Johan Mazorra
Analytics Vidhya

Data Science Student / Therapist / Music Producer / Video Editor / Crypto Enthusiast