America’s Predictable, Avoidable, Unnecessary Syrian Disaster

Never has a foreign policy decision gone so bad, so quickly, for such bad reasons

Nicholas Grossman
Arc Digital

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Turkish military personnel travel through Tukhar, Syria, on October 14, 2019, as part of Turkey’s continued assault on the Kurds. | Credit: Aref Tammawi (Getty)

In the week since President Trump ordered the U.S. military to stand aside and allow Turkey to invade northern Syria, thousands of ISIS fighters and supporters escaped detention, America’s Kurdish allies have faced overwhelming attack, a growing number of civilians have been summarily executed, Turkey fired on U.S. military positions, and Syrian government forces — along with their Russian allies — have advanced. The United States looks weak, immoral, untrustworthy, confused.

None of this had to happen. No event forced it to happen. The only reason it happened is Donald Trump.

A Difficult Situation

After a multi-year campaign to dislodge ISIS from its self-proclaimed “caliphate,” America’s local allies — the predominantly Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), who led the ground fighting and suffered nearly 11,000 casualties — controlled northeast Syria (yellow on the map).

(Syria Live Map — January 2019)

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Nicholas Grossman
Arc Digital

Senior Editor at Arc Digital. Poli Sci prof (IR) at U. Illinois. Author of “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.