Breaking Down Trump’s Plan To Steal The Election (And Why It’s Failing)

Undermining democratic legitimacy and conning supporters, but not actually affecting results

Nicholas Grossman
Arc Digital

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A Trump supporter in a shirt alleging “fraud” at the “Stop the Steal” rally in Washington, DC, November 14, 2020 (B.A. Van Sise/NurPhoto via Getty)

I saw this coming. As President Trump denigrated vote-by-mail and installed crony Louis DeJoy as Postmaster General, his unsubtle plan to manipulate the election came into focus. I called it out in July, and again, step-by-step, in August:

(Source)

Now we’re seeing the last step play out, with Trump and his allies spreading lies, conspiracy theories, and false insinuations about voter fraud. There are a few isolated cases, as there always are — a registered Republican in Pennsylvania got caught requesting an absentee ballot for his dead mother — but no evidence of the widespread, outcome-affecting fraud they’re alleging.

At the risk of pointing out the obvious, a real plot to fake thousands of votes across multiple states would take a lot of people. And they’d have to do a lot of unusual things in front of local officials, poll watchers, and various government workers, all of whom have smartphones.

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Nicholas Grossman
Arc Digital

Senior Editor at Arc Digital. Poli Sci prof (IR) at U. Illinois. Author of “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.