Divergent and Convergent Scenarios For Global Commodities During the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

World As One 4PEACE
Areas & Producers
Published in
17 min readDec 13, 2022

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This writing was inspired by Gergely Husz’s The Role of Technology in Russia — Ukraine War. Gergely Husz puts the technology and information aspects together to illustrate how the dynamics of international warfare are shaping the Russia-Ukraine conflict and future trends in warfare.

I will expand on what’s happening in global commodities with some updates about them during the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, in order to understand more about my views on strategy in international relations (IR) I suggest reading what I put together about A New Era of Adversarial Geopolitics Is Beginning on the Indo-Pacific & Arctic Oceans.

Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash

Commodities are global in nature. The only attention being truly paid to regional development is about large investments in infrastructure — these investments do not seek to enhance regional connectivity, but give an advantage to a producing country so that it can more efficiently transport raw materials to markets far away from the original source.

This is the essence of the Arctic Strategy, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and Indo-Pacific Strategy: all of them revolve around the maritime domain while also seeking defense mechanisms through military cooperation.

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World As One 4PEACE
Areas & Producers

Publisher and Editor of Areas & Producers - Developing Concepts Around Scenarios/Shifts Of The World Future As One. https://medium.com/areas-producers