Divergent and Convergent Scenarios For Global Commodities During the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
This writing was inspired by Gergely Husz’s The Role of Technology in Russia — Ukraine War. Gergely Husz puts the technology and information aspects together to illustrate how the dynamics of international warfare are shaping the Russia-Ukraine conflict and future trends in warfare.
I will expand on what’s happening in global commodities with some updates about them during the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, in order to understand more about my views on strategy in international relations (IR) I suggest reading what I put together about A New Era of Adversarial Geopolitics Is Beginning on the Indo-Pacific & Arctic Oceans.
Commodities are global in nature. The only attention being truly paid to regional development is about large investments in infrastructure — these investments do not seek to enhance regional connectivity, but give an advantage to a producing country so that it can more efficiently transport raw materials to markets far away from the original source.
This is the essence of the Arctic Strategy, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and Indo-Pacific Strategy: all of them revolve around the maritime domain while also seeking defense mechanisms through military cooperation.
