Bow-wow WOW!

November Market Outlook

Blockchain.com
Nov 5 · 5 min read

Are dog-themed coins “making money fun again”?

Risking the ongoing crypto revolution sparked by bitcoin’s launch almost 13 years ago appearing as a joke?

A passing fad? Here to stay?

Whatever your view on the fundamental merits of memecoin standouts like Dogecoin (DOGE) and now Shiba Inu (SHIB), which recently managed to flip DOGE to become the most valuable dog-themed coin, their incredible rise in value cannot be ignored.

On this month’s monthly webinar we discuss the rise of doggy coins.

We also had a conversation about the new Celo euro (cEUR) stablecoin with Celo co-founder Marcus Franke, including why we may at last see a non-USD stablecoin gain meaningful adoption.

Have a watch and listen, and read on below for our commentary on markets and on-chain activity.

Summary:

  1. Market Movements
  • For October cryptoasset markets boomed with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) were both up 42%

2. On-Chain Analysis

  • October’s strong bitcoin price action was matched by improving on-chain fundamentals

3. What we’re reading, hearing, and watching

  • Explore the latest on crypto and beyond from The New York Times, Bloomberg, Bitcoin Magazine, and more.

1. Market Movements

For October cryptoasset markets boomed with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) both up 42% (Table 1).

Table 1: Price Performance: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold, US Equities, USD, Long-dated US Treasuries

Sources: Blockchain.com, Google Finance

A major catalyst for crypto this month was the launch of a long anticipated Bitcoin ETF, which was at last approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission and helped bitcoin make a new all-time high of ~$68k.

Strong ongoing demand for NFTs and DeFi activity, along with growing institutional interest, also helped to recently push Ethereum into new all-time territory as well at ~$4600.

Every crypto dog has its day

While BTC and ETH are driving further institutional crypto adoption, the real standout crypto performers of late have been some dog-themed meme coins, particularly Shiba Inu (SHIB). SHIB was up ~300% for the month of October and briefly overtook the previously reigning top crypto pooch coin, Dogecoin (DOGE).

With a current market cap of $25 billion, SHIB is more valuable than UniSwap (UNI), Polygon (MATIC), Avalanche (AVAX), Algorand (ALGO), and a number of other notable cryptoassets.

Woof woof!

While it may be tempting to take a cynical view of the rise of dog-themed coins, their success speaks to the incredible importance of the social aspects of money. Narratives and storytelling have always played a role in not just money, but anything that requires uniting people around a shared enterprise.

With that said, those speculating on dog-themed or other meme coins must be mindful of how quickly the winds can shift. Any given meme-driven phenomenon is at risk of being out-memed by something new, and this can happen rather quickly.

2. On-Chain Analysis

Each month we dive into on-chain data to explore interesting trends or movements on the Bitcoin network.

On a monthly basis, overall bitcoin on-chain activity increased in the month of October (Table 2).

Table 2: October vs September bitcoin on-chain network activity

Despite seeing a slight slowdown in the percentage of Bitcoin transactions (-1.4%) and overall Bitcoin payments (-3.0%) from Blockchain.com this month, the average number of overall daily transactions has increased (7.4%) with the average number of daily payments also gaining 9.2% on last month.

As we discussed on the webinar, one major difference between past major price rallies like we saw in October and this time is the impact on fees. While a 27% month-over-month increase in fees is significant, this pales in comparison to past periods when major price spikes would send fees dramatically (multiples) higher.

We believe the relatively muted response in average fee price to the recent price rally underscores the real scaling and efficiency progress made by bitcoin with the broadening adoption of Segregated Witness (SegWit) and layer 2 networks like Lightning, and transaction batching.

However, it also underscores how much more bitcoin activity (ie trading) is happening off-chain on centralized exchanges.

3. What we’re reading, hearing, and watching

Crypto

Beyond Crypto

Important note

The research provided herein is for your general information and use and is not intended to address your particular requirements.

In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation by Blockchain.com and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making (or refraining from making) any investment decisions.

Appropriate independent advice should be obtained before making any such decision.

@blockchain

Blockchain.com